The South African Weather Service's (SAWS) most recent forecast projects Cape Town's highest temperature on April 15 at 21°C amid partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds, anchoring trader consensus with this outcome leading at 25.5% implied probability. Competing probabilities for 20°C, 19°C, and 22°C stem from ensemble spread across global models like ECMWF and GFS, which differ on cloud cover timing and sea breeze strength influenced by cool Benguela Current waters moderating daytime heating. Mid-April climatology supports highs of 20-22°C on average during autumn cooling, but local orographic effects from Table Mountain add uncertainty to peak timing. Final SAWS observations from city stations will resolve the market tomorrow evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 15?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 15?
20°C 26%
21°C 26%
19°C 18%
22°C 13%
最新
$11,473 交易量
最新
$11,473 交易量
2026-04-15
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
6%
19°C
18%
20°C
27%
21°C
26%
22°C
13%
23°C
7%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
1%
20°C 26%
21°C 26%
19°C 18%
22°C 13%
最新
$11,473 交易量
最新
$11,473 交易量
2026-04-15
15°C or below
$661 交易量
<1%
16°C
$896 交易量
<1%
17°C
$7,699 交易量
<1%
18°C
$498 交易量
6%
19°C
$117 交易量
18%
20°C
$75 交易量
27%
21°C
$234 交易量
26%
22°C
$321 交易量
13%
23°C
$170 交易量
7%
24°C
$293 交易量
1%
25°C or higher
$511 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The South African Weather Service's (SAWS) most recent forecast projects Cape Town's highest temperature on April 15 at 21°C amid partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds, anchoring trader consensus with this outcome leading at 25.5% implied probability. Competing probabilities for 20°C, 19°C, and 22°C stem from ensemble spread across global models like ECMWF and GFS, which differ on cloud cover timing and sea breeze strength influenced by cool Benguela Current waters moderating daytime heating. Mid-April climatology supports highs of 20-22°C on average during autumn cooling, but local orographic effects from Table Mountain add uncertainty to peak timing. Final SAWS observations from city stations will resolve the market tomorrow evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
交易量
$11,473结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The South African Weather Service's (SAWS) most recent forecast projects Cape Town's highest temperature on April 15 at 21°C amid partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds, anchoring trader consensus with this outcome leading at 25.5% implied probability. Competing probabilities for 20°C, 19°C, and 22°C stem from ensemble spread across global models like ECMWF and GFS, which differ on cloud cover timing and sea breeze strength influenced by cool Benguela Current waters moderating daytime heating. Mid-April climatology supports highs of 20-22°C on average during autumn cooling, but local orographic effects from Table Mountain add uncertainty to peak timing. Final SAWS observations from city stations will resolve the market tomorrow evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$11,473结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ETThe South African Weather Service's (SAWS) most recent forecast projects Cape Town's highest temperature on April 15 at 21°C amid partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds, anchoring trader consensus with this outcome leading at 25.5% implied probability. Competing probabilities for 20°C, 19°C, and 22°C stem from ensemble spread across global models like ECMWF and GFS, which differ on cloud cover timing and sea breeze strength influenced by cool Benguela Current waters moderating daytime heating. Mid-April climatology supports highs of 20-22°C on average during autumn cooling, but local orographic effects from Table Mountain add uncertainty to peak timing. Final SAWS observations from city stations will resolve the market tomorrow evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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