Official observations from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) at Cape Town International Airport (FACT) confirm the highest temperature on April 15 reached exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Cloudy conditions and isolated showers ahead of an intensifying cold front suppressed daytime heating, aligning with SAWS pre-event forecasts of maximums between 20-21°C—below the April climatological average of around 23°C. This positioning reflects verified hourly METAR data, with minimal wind and overcast skies limiting solar insolation. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from SAWS audits, though such adjustments are exceptional for established records.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月15日开普敦气温最高？
4月15日开普敦气温最高？
21°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$48,512 交易量
$48,512 交易量
2026-04-15
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
是
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或更高
否
21°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$48,512 交易量
$48,512 交易量
2026-04-15
15°C或以下
$1,054 交易量
否
16°C
$2,147 交易量
否
17°C
$15,710 交易量
否
18°C
$7,141 交易量
否
19°C
$4,147 交易量
否
20°C
$3,729 交易量
否
21°C
$3,635 交易量
是
22°C
$5,893 交易量
否
23°C
$2,568 交易量
否
24°C
$895 交易量
否
25°C或更高
$1,593 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) at Cape Town International Airport (FACT) confirm the highest temperature on April 15 reached exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Cloudy conditions and isolated showers ahead of an intensifying cold front suppressed daytime heating, aligning with SAWS pre-event forecasts of maximums between 20-21°C—below the April climatological average of around 23°C. This positioning reflects verified hourly METAR data, with minimal wind and overcast skies limiting solar insolation. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from SAWS audits, though such adjustments are exceptional for established records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
交易量
$48,512结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) at Cape Town International Airport (FACT) confirm the highest temperature on April 15 reached exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Cloudy conditions and isolated showers ahead of an intensifying cold front suppressed daytime heating, aligning with SAWS pre-event forecasts of maximums between 20-21°C—below the April climatological average of around 23°C. This positioning reflects verified hourly METAR data, with minimal wind and overcast skies limiting solar insolation. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from SAWS audits, though such adjustments are exceptional for established records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$48,512结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official observations from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) at Cape Town International Airport (FACT) confirm the highest temperature on April 15 reached exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Cloudy conditions and isolated showers ahead of an intensifying cold front suppressed daytime heating, aligning with SAWS pre-event forecasts of maximums between 20-21°C—below the April climatological average of around 23°C. This positioning reflects verified hourly METAR data, with minimal wind and overcast skies limiting solar insolation. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from SAWS audits, though such adjustments are exceptional for established records.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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