Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the South African Weather Service's (SAWS) latest extended forecast for April 16, indicating partly cloudy skies with isolated showers and cool to warm conditions over Cape Town, yielding market-implied odds tightly clustered around 20-23°C. This positioning stems from ensemble forecast models like ECMWF and GFS showing a 1-2°C spread, driven by uncertainties in cloud cover extent, shower timing, and sea breeze intensification, which moderates peak afternoon heating typical for mid-autumn. Yr.no guidance leans toward a 22°C maximum under clearer skies, aligning with climatological averages of ~22°C, while greater cloudiness could cap it at 20-21°C. SAWS hourly updates and official station observations will sharpen resolution tomorrow.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 16?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 16?
22°C 32%
20°C 27%
21°C 27%
23°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
16°C or below
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
9%
19°C
10%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
32%
23°C
27%
24°C
13%
25°C
9%
26°C or higher
4%
22°C 32%
20°C 27%
21°C 27%
23°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
16°C or below
$86 交易量
2%
17°C
$33 交易量
2%
18°C
$47 交易量
9%
19°C
$6 交易量
10%
20°C
$0 交易量
27%
21°C
$0 交易量
27%
22°C
$0 交易量
32%
23°C
$0 交易量
27%
24°C
$0 交易量
13%
25°C
$0 交易量
9%
26°C or higher
$19 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the South African Weather Service's (SAWS) latest extended forecast for April 16, indicating partly cloudy skies with isolated showers and cool to warm conditions over Cape Town, yielding market-implied odds tightly clustered around 20-23°C. This positioning stems from ensemble forecast models like ECMWF and GFS showing a 1-2°C spread, driven by uncertainties in cloud cover extent, shower timing, and sea breeze intensification, which moderates peak afternoon heating typical for mid-autumn. Yr.no guidance leans toward a 22°C maximum under clearer skies, aligning with climatological averages of ~22°C, while greater cloudiness could cap it at 20-21°C. SAWS hourly updates and official station observations will sharpen resolution tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 14, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
交易量
$191结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:20 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the South African Weather Service's (SAWS) latest extended forecast for April 16, indicating partly cloudy skies with isolated showers and cool to warm conditions over Cape Town, yielding market-implied odds tightly clustered around 20-23°C. This positioning stems from ensemble forecast models like ECMWF and GFS showing a 1-2°C spread, driven by uncertainties in cloud cover extent, shower timing, and sea breeze intensification, which moderates peak afternoon heating typical for mid-autumn. Yr.no guidance leans toward a 22°C maximum under clearer skies, aligning with climatological averages of ~22°C, while greater cloudiness could cap it at 20-21°C. SAWS hourly updates and official station observations will sharpen resolution tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$191结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:20 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects the South African Weather Service's (SAWS) latest extended forecast for April 16, indicating partly cloudy skies with isolated showers and cool to warm conditions over Cape Town, yielding market-implied odds tightly clustered around 20-23°C. This positioning stems from ensemble forecast models like ECMWF and GFS showing a 1-2°C spread, driven by uncertainties in cloud cover extent, shower timing, and sea breeze intensification, which moderates peak afternoon heating typical for mid-autumn. Yr.no guidance leans toward a 22°C maximum under clearer skies, aligning with climatological averages of ~22°C, while greater cloudiness could cap it at 20-21°C. SAWS hourly updates and official station observations will sharpen resolution tomorrow.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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