Official observations from Cape Town International Airport, the primary resolution source via South African Weather Service (SAWS) protocols, recorded a maximum temperature of 21°C on April 16, driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability. Hourly METAR reports captured the peak around midday amid partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and typical autumn stability in the Western Cape, where April highs average 22–24°C under persistent high-pressure ridges. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from SAWS and NOAA models pegging 21–23°C, reflecting no anomalous heat advection or frontal influences. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from sensor audits or outlier peripheral stations exceeding 21°C, though airport readings hold authoritative weight; final SAWS verification is imminent for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 16?
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$47,079 交易量
$47,079 交易量
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$47,079 交易量
$47,079 交易量
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 14, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from Cape Town International Airport, the primary resolution source via South African Weather Service (SAWS) protocols, recorded a maximum temperature of 21°C on April 16, driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability. Hourly METAR reports captured the peak around midday amid partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and typical autumn stability in the Western Cape, where April highs average 22–24°C under persistent high-pressure ridges. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from SAWS and NOAA models pegging 21–23°C, reflecting no anomalous heat advection or frontal influences. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from sensor audits or outlier peripheral stations exceeding 21°C, though airport readings hold authoritative weight; final SAWS verification is imminent for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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