Official South African Weather Service (SAWS) observations from the Cape Town International Airport station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm the highest temperature on April 20, 2026, reached exactly 17°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects a cool, overcast autumn day marked by isolated showers, fresh westerly winds up to 20-30 km/h, and lingering effects from a cold front that made landfall days earlier, suppressing typical April highs of 22°C. Model consensus from SAWS and private forecasters had anticipated subdued temperatures due to persistent cloud cover and frontal moisture. While final data ratification is pending, revisions are exceedingly rare given automated station reliability; only a verified measurement error or overlooked peak could challenge this positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 20?
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$63,420 交易量
$63,420 交易量
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$63,420 交易量
$63,420 交易量
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 18, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official South African Weather Service (SAWS) observations from the Cape Town International Airport station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm the highest temperature on April 20, 2026, reached exactly 17°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects a cool, overcast autumn day marked by isolated showers, fresh westerly winds up to 20-30 km/h, and lingering effects from a cold front that made landfall days earlier, suppressing typical April highs of 22°C. Model consensus from SAWS and private forecasters had anticipated subdued temperatures due to persistent cloud cover and frontal moisture. While final data ratification is pending, revisions are exceedingly rare given automated station reliability; only a verified measurement error or overlooked peak could challenge this positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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