Current forecasts from the South African Weather Service and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather indicate a daytime maximum near 19–21 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies with moderate southeasterly winds, consistent with typical mid-June climatology for Cape Town’s Mediterranean winter regime. Official observations through midday show temperatures peaking in this narrow band without signs of anomalous warming from berg winds or subtropical ridging. The 100 % market-implied probability for exactly 21 °C reflects this tight consensus around the daily high, with resolution criteria tied to verified maximum readings. An unforecasted warm advection event or measurement revision could still shift the outcome, though such developments appear improbable within the remaining daylight hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Cape Town on June 16?
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$35,562 交易量
$35,562 交易量
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$35,562 交易量
$35,562 交易量
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 14, 2026, 1:09 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Current forecasts from the South African Weather Service and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather indicate a daytime maximum near 19–21 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies with moderate southeasterly winds, consistent with typical mid-June climatology for Cape Town’s Mediterranean winter regime. Official observations through midday show temperatures peaking in this narrow band without signs of anomalous warming from berg winds or subtropical ridging. The 100 % market-implied probability for exactly 21 °C reflects this tight consensus around the daily high, with resolution criteria tied to verified maximum readings. An unforecasted warm advection event or measurement revision could still shift the outcome, though such developments appear improbable within the remaining daylight hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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