Recent South African Weather Service and model guidance for Cape Town points to a typical mid-winter setup with Atlantic moderation keeping daytime maxima near the seasonal 16–18 °C average. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 15–18 °C because small differences in the timing or strength of an approaching cold front, or a transient berg-wind episode, can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest this close to the event, yet coastal cloud cover, wind direction, and exact frontal passage still create enough forecast uncertainty to keep the four leading outcomes within a few percentage points of one another.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Cape Town on June 23?
17°C 100.0%
11°C或以下 <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$41,686 交易量
$41,686 交易量
11°C或以下
否
12°C
No
13°C
否
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
11°C或以下 <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$41,686 交易量
$41,686 交易量
11°C或以下
否
12°C
No
13°C
否
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 21, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent South African Weather Service and model guidance for Cape Town points to a typical mid-winter setup with Atlantic moderation keeping daytime maxima near the seasonal 16–18 °C average. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 15–18 °C because small differences in the timing or strength of an approaching cold front, or a transient berg-wind episode, can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest this close to the event, yet coastal cloud cover, wind direction, and exact frontal passage still create enough forecast uncertainty to keep the four leading outcomes within a few percentage points of one another.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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