Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C in Chengdu on April 27, driven by official observational data from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, the market's resolution source under China Meteorological Administration protocols. Hourly records show the temperature peaking at 23°C in the early afternoon amid persistent cloud cover and light rain, which suppressed solar heating and deviated from initial model forecasts of 25–26°C from CMA and AccuWeather ensembles. Current evening readings near 20°C further solidify this positioning, aligning with April climatological norms of 20–25°C highs influenced by regional frontal systems. Realistic challenges include rare post-day data revisions from station audits, though such adjustments seldom exceed 1°C and require verifiable evidence. Final CMA daily summary expected within 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 27?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 27?
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$113,374 交易量
$113,374 交易量
2026-04-27
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$113,374 交易量
$113,374 交易量
2026-04-27
19°C or below
$3,933 交易量
No
20°C
$4,219 交易量
No
21°C
$3,124 交易量
No
22°C
$13,416 交易量
No
23°C
$24,118 交易量
Yes
24°C
$12,066 交易量
No
25°C
$9,906 交易量
No
26°C
$10,075 交易量
No
27°C
$9,669 交易量
No
28°C
$11,330 交易量
No
29°C or higher
$11,519 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C in Chengdu on April 27, driven by official observational data from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, the market's resolution source under China Meteorological Administration protocols. Hourly records show the temperature peaking at 23°C in the early afternoon amid persistent cloud cover and light rain, which suppressed solar heating and deviated from initial model forecasts of 25–26°C from CMA and AccuWeather ensembles. Current evening readings near 20°C further solidify this positioning, aligning with April climatological norms of 20–25°C highs influenced by regional frontal systems. Realistic challenges include rare post-day data revisions from station audits, though such adjustments seldom exceed 1°C and require verifiable evidence. Final CMA daily summary expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 25, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
交易量
$113,374结束日期
2026-04-27市场开放时间
Apr 25, 2026, 12:15 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C in Chengdu on April 27, driven by official observational data from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, the market's resolution source under China Meteorological Administration protocols. Hourly records show the temperature peaking at 23°C in the early afternoon amid persistent cloud cover and light rain, which suppressed solar heating and deviated from initial model forecasts of 25–26°C from CMA and AccuWeather ensembles. Current evening readings near 20°C further solidify this positioning, aligning with April climatological norms of 20–25°C highs influenced by regional frontal systems. Realistic challenges include rare post-day data revisions from station audits, though such adjustments seldom exceed 1°C and require verifiable evidence. Final CMA daily summary expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$113,374结束日期
2026-04-27市场开放时间
Apr 25, 2026, 12:15 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C in Chengdu on April 27, driven by official observational data from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, the market's resolution source under China Meteorological Administration protocols. Hourly records show the temperature peaking at 23°C in the early afternoon amid persistent cloud cover and light rain, which suppressed solar heating and deviated from initial model forecasts of 25–26°C from CMA and AccuWeather ensembles. Current evening readings near 20°C further solidify this positioning, aligning with April climatological norms of 20–25°C highs influenced by regional frontal systems. Realistic challenges include rare post-day data revisions from station audits, though such adjustments seldom exceed 1°C and require verifiable evidence. Final CMA daily summary expected within 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题