Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a 68-69°F high in Chicago on April 27, driven by official National Weather Service observations at O'Hare International Airport (KORD), the resolution station, which recorded a maximum temperature of 68°F at 5:51 PM local time. This measurement from the automated surface observing system aligns with post-event data releases confirming partly cloudy skies, windy conditions with gusts to 36 mph, and no precipitation, slightly above the climatological average high of around 64°F for late April. While final daily climatological summaries rarely revise ASOS readings, a realistic challenge could arise from an official data audit uncovering sensor issues or quality control adjustments, though such corrections are exceedingly uncommon after initial validation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chicago on April 27?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 27?
68-69°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$261,847 交易量
$261,847 交易量
2026-04-27
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
68-69°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$261,847 交易量
$261,847 交易量
2026-04-27
53°F or below
$29,589 交易量
No
54-55°F
$2,740 交易量
No
56-57°F
$38,299 交易量
No
58-59°F
$30,455 交易量
No
60-61°F
$30,077 交易量
No
62-63°F
$20,607 交易量
No
64-65°F
$20,304 交易量
No
66-67°F
$23,385 交易量
No
68-69°F
$35,531 交易量
Yes
70-71°F
$15,401 交易量
No
72°F or higher
$15,460 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a 68-69°F high in Chicago on April 27, driven by official National Weather Service observations at O'Hare International Airport (KORD), the resolution station, which recorded a maximum temperature of 68°F at 5:51 PM local time. This measurement from the automated surface observing system aligns with post-event data releases confirming partly cloudy skies, windy conditions with gusts to 36 mph, and no precipitation, slightly above the climatological average high of around 64°F for late April. While final daily climatological summaries rarely revise ASOS readings, a realistic challenge could arise from an official data audit uncovering sensor issues or quality control adjustments, though such corrections are exceedingly uncommon after initial validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 25, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
交易量
$261,847结束日期
2026-04-27市场开放时间
Apr 25, 2026, 12:10 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a 68-69°F high in Chicago on April 27, driven by official National Weather Service observations at O'Hare International Airport (KORD), the resolution station, which recorded a maximum temperature of 68°F at 5:51 PM local time. This measurement from the automated surface observing system aligns with post-event data releases confirming partly cloudy skies, windy conditions with gusts to 36 mph, and no precipitation, slightly above the climatological average high of around 64°F for late April. While final daily climatological summaries rarely revise ASOS readings, a realistic challenge could arise from an official data audit uncovering sensor issues or quality control adjustments, though such corrections are exceedingly uncommon after initial validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$261,847结束日期
2026-04-27市场开放时间
Apr 25, 2026, 12:10 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a 68-69°F high in Chicago on April 27, driven by official National Weather Service observations at O'Hare International Airport (KORD), the resolution station, which recorded a maximum temperature of 68°F at 5:51 PM local time. This measurement from the automated surface observing system aligns with post-event data releases confirming partly cloudy skies, windy conditions with gusts to 36 mph, and no precipitation, slightly above the climatological average high of around 64°F for late April. While final daily climatological summaries rarely revise ASOS readings, a realistic challenge could arise from an official data audit uncovering sensor issues or quality control adjustments, though such corrections are exceedingly uncommon after initial validation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题