Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 27–28°C for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 19, driven by recent forecast models showing daytime highs near 30°C amid a warming spring trend, but tempered by high thunderstorm risk and cloud cover. AccuWeather's latest guidance projects a 30°C peak with 90% precipitation probability and afternoon storms, which could reduce solar insolation and cap actual temperatures 2–3°C lower through enhanced convective activity and shading. Earlier April observations, like 20°C on the 11th rising toward 30°C by the 17th, highlight volatile frontal passages; GFS and ECMWF ensembles show model spread of 25–31°C. China Meteorological Administration updates expected daily could refine this, with resolution based on Jiangbei station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 19?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 19?
28°C 28%
27°C 26%
29°C 18%
26°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-19
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
8%
26°C
23%
27°C
26%
28°C
29%
29°C
18%
30°C
7%
31°C or higher
3%
28°C 28%
27°C 26%
29°C 18%
26°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-19
21°C or below
$533 交易量
<1%
22°C
$592 交易量
<1%
23°C
$532 交易量
1%
24°C
$289 交易量
3%
25°C
$249 交易量
8%
26°C
$129 交易量
23%
27°C
$88 交易量
26%
28°C
$75 交易量
29%
29°C
$107 交易量
18%
30°C
$104 交易量
7%
31°C or higher
$410 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 27–28°C for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 19, driven by recent forecast models showing daytime highs near 30°C amid a warming spring trend, but tempered by high thunderstorm risk and cloud cover. AccuWeather's latest guidance projects a 30°C peak with 90% precipitation probability and afternoon storms, which could reduce solar insolation and cap actual temperatures 2–3°C lower through enhanced convective activity and shading. Earlier April observations, like 20°C on the 11th rising toward 30°C by the 17th, highlight volatile frontal passages; GFS and ECMWF ensembles show model spread of 25–31°C. China Meteorological Administration updates expected daily could refine this, with resolution based on Jiangbei station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 17, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
交易量
$3,108结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 12:17 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 27–28°C for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 19, driven by recent forecast models showing daytime highs near 30°C amid a warming spring trend, but tempered by high thunderstorm risk and cloud cover. AccuWeather's latest guidance projects a 30°C peak with 90% precipitation probability and afternoon storms, which could reduce solar insolation and cap actual temperatures 2–3°C lower through enhanced convective activity and shading. Earlier April observations, like 20°C on the 11th rising toward 30°C by the 17th, highlight volatile frontal passages; GFS and ECMWF ensembles show model spread of 25–31°C. China Meteorological Administration updates expected daily could refine this, with resolution based on Jiangbei station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,108结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 12:17 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 27–28°C for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 19, driven by recent forecast models showing daytime highs near 30°C amid a warming spring trend, but tempered by high thunderstorm risk and cloud cover. AccuWeather's latest guidance projects a 30°C peak with 90% precipitation probability and afternoon storms, which could reduce solar insolation and cap actual temperatures 2–3°C lower through enhanced convective activity and shading. Earlier April observations, like 20°C on the 11th rising toward 30°C by the 17th, highlight volatile frontal passages; GFS and ECMWF ensembles show model spread of 25–31°C. China Meteorological Administration updates expected daily could refine this, with resolution based on Jiangbei station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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