The National Weather Service's latest forecast drives trader sentiment toward a Dallas high temperature of 82-85°F, with 82-83°F leading at 41.5% implied probability and 84-85°F at 31%, reflecting consensus model runs projecting peaks near 84-85°F under partly to mostly cloudy skies and south winds of 10-15 mph gusting to 30 mph. Southerly flow ahead of a cold front arriving late April 17 advects warm, moist air, enabling above-normal heating—well above the mid-April climatological average of 77°F amid NOAA's spring outlook for elevated temperatures. Model agreement has tightened over the past 24 hours, but lingering uncertainty from cloud evolution or isolated showers could temper peaks, as evidenced by the split odds; hourly observations at stations like KDFW will soon clarify the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月17日达拉斯的最高温度?
4月17日达拉斯的最高温度?
82-83°F 42%
84-85°F 32%
80-81°F 15%
78-79°F 4.6%
$38,365 交易量
$38,365 交易量
77°F或以下
1%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
42%
84-85°F
32%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F或更高
<1%
82-83°F 42%
84-85°F 32%
80-81°F 15%
78-79°F 4.6%
$38,365 交易量
$38,365 交易量
77°F或以下
1%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
42%
84-85°F
32%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The National Weather Service's latest forecast drives trader sentiment toward a Dallas high temperature of 82-85°F, with 82-83°F leading at 41.5% implied probability and 84-85°F at 31%, reflecting consensus model runs projecting peaks near 84-85°F under partly to mostly cloudy skies and south winds of 10-15 mph gusting to 30 mph. Southerly flow ahead of a cold front arriving late April 17 advects warm, moist air, enabling above-normal heating—well above the mid-April climatological average of 77°F amid NOAA's spring outlook for elevated temperatures. Model agreement has tightened over the past 24 hours, but lingering uncertainty from cloud evolution or isolated showers could temper peaks, as evidenced by the split odds; hourly observations at stations like KDFW will soon clarify the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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