Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance places Dallas highs for June 24 near 95–97 °F under a building ridge with southerly flow and limited cloud cover, aligning with the tightly matched 92–95 °F market bins. Model spread in afternoon convective timing and boundary-layer mixing introduces the main uncertainty between these outcomes, while climatological June maxima near 93 °F and ongoing above-average soil moisture provide modest cooling potential. Traders appear to weigh the latest 00Z and 12Z runs against historical verification biases at KDFW, keeping lower and higher bins at single-digit implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月24日达拉斯的最高温度?
94-95°F 100.0%
87°F或以下 <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$51,244 交易量
$51,244 交易量
87°F或以下
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92-93°F
否
94-95°F
是
96-97°F
否
98-99°F
否
100-101°F
否
102-103°F
否
104-105°F
否
106°F或更高
否
94-95°F 100.0%
87°F或以下 <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$51,244 交易量
$51,244 交易量
87°F或以下
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92-93°F
否
94-95°F
是
96-97°F
否
98-99°F
否
100-101°F
否
102-103°F
否
104-105°F
否
106°F或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 22, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance places Dallas highs for June 24 near 95–97 °F under a building ridge with southerly flow and limited cloud cover, aligning with the tightly matched 92–95 °F market bins. Model spread in afternoon convective timing and boundary-layer mixing introduces the main uncertainty between these outcomes, while climatological June maxima near 93 °F and ongoing above-average soil moisture provide modest cooling potential. Traders appear to weigh the latest 00Z and 12Z runs against historical verification biases at KDFW, keeping lower and higher bins at single-digit implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题