Market-implied odds for 38°C reflect the convergence of official meteorological observations and short-range forecast models showing Guangzhou’s daily maximum will reach that threshold under subtropical early-June conditions. High humidity, light northeasterly winds, and mostly cloudy skies have allowed temperatures to climb steadily toward the observed peak, consistent with regional climatology for the Pearl River Delta. Chinese meteorological services and neighboring agency guidance have aligned on this value, leaving little room for alternative outcomes on resolution day. Only an unforeseen late-day cooling front or station-specific measurement variance would alter the result.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 3?
38°C 100.0%
29°C或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$95,574 交易量
$95,574 交易量
29°C或以下
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C
是
39°C或更高
否
38°C 100.0%
29°C或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$95,574 交易量
$95,574 交易量
29°C或以下
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C
是
39°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Market-implied odds for 38°C reflect the convergence of official meteorological observations and short-range forecast models showing Guangzhou’s daily maximum will reach that threshold under subtropical early-June conditions. High humidity, light northeasterly winds, and mostly cloudy skies have allowed temperatures to climb steadily toward the observed peak, consistent with regional climatology for the Pearl River Delta. Chinese meteorological services and neighboring agency guidance have aligned on this value, leaving little room for alternative outcomes on resolution day. Only an unforeseen late-day cooling front or station-specific measurement variance would alter the result.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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