Traders have converged on a 34°C high for Guangzhou on May 31 because multiple regional meteorological ensemble models produced tightly clustered daytime maximum forecasts around that value under persistent subtropical monsoon flow and moderate boundary-layer moisture. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration align with these runs, confirming the peak under typical late-May conditions where historical averages range from 29–32°C. The market-implied odds reflect this strong model consensus and skin-in-the-game assessment of minimal upside or downside risk. Only an unexpected post-analysis revision to the official record or an unforecast mesoscale event could alter the outcome at this stage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 31?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 31?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$90,223 交易量
$90,223 交易量
2026-05-31
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$90,223 交易量
$90,223 交易量
2026-05-31
28°C or below
$9,365 交易量
No
29°C
$2,644 交易量
No
30°C
$12,538 交易量
No
31°C
$5,523 交易量
No
32°C
$10,257 交易量
No
33°C
$5,664 交易量
No
34°C
$11,643 交易量
Yes
35°C
$9,308 交易量
No
36°C
$13,292 交易量
No
37°C
$6,827 交易量
No
38°C or higher
$3,162 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 34°C high for Guangzhou on May 31 because multiple regional meteorological ensemble models produced tightly clustered daytime maximum forecasts around that value under persistent subtropical monsoon flow and moderate boundary-layer moisture. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration align with these runs, confirming the peak under typical late-May conditions where historical averages range from 29–32°C. The market-implied odds reflect this strong model consensus and skin-in-the-game assessment of minimal upside or downside risk. Only an unexpected post-analysis revision to the official record or an unforecast mesoscale event could alter the outcome at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： May 29, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
交易量
$90,223结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
May 29, 2026, 12:26 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 34°C high for Guangzhou on May 31 because multiple regional meteorological ensemble models produced tightly clustered daytime maximum forecasts around that value under persistent subtropical monsoon flow and moderate boundary-layer moisture. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration align with these runs, confirming the peak under typical late-May conditions where historical averages range from 29–32°C. The market-implied odds reflect this strong model consensus and skin-in-the-game assessment of minimal upside or downside risk. Only an unexpected post-analysis revision to the official record or an unforecast mesoscale event could alter the outcome at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$90,223结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
May 29, 2026, 12:26 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Traders have converged on a 34°C high for Guangzhou on May 31 because multiple regional meteorological ensemble models produced tightly clustered daytime maximum forecasts around that value under persistent subtropical monsoon flow and moderate boundary-layer moisture. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration align with these runs, confirming the peak under typical late-May conditions where historical averages range from 29–32°C. The market-implied odds reflect this strong model consensus and skin-in-the-game assessment of minimal upside or downside risk. Only an unexpected post-analysis revision to the official record or an unforecast mesoscale event could alter the outcome at this stage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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