**Trader consensus at 100% for a 16°C high in Helsinki on June 17, 2026, reflects converging official observations and late-day model guidance showing limited daytime warming.** Persistent northwesterly flow advecting cool maritime air, combined with overcast or broken cloud cover and light showers, has suppressed solar heating and kept maximum temperatures capped near this level. Finnish Meteorological Institute data and European ensemble forecasts consistently point to afternoon readings around 15–16°C under these conditions, aligning with the market-implied outcome. Realistic challenges remain narrow but include a sharper-than-expected wind shift or rapid cloud break that could allow brief additional warming before sunset. However, with the day advanced and observations already clustering tightly around 16°C, such shifts are unlikely to alter the daily maximum. This skin-in-the-game consensus underscores how real-time meteorological constraints—rather than climatological averages near 19°C—have driven the decisive positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Helsinki on June 17?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on June 17?
16°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$147,790 交易量
$147,790 交易量
2026-06-17
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$147,790 交易量
$147,790 交易量
2026-06-17
13°C or below
$12,504 交易量
No
14°C
$36,996 交易量
No
15°C
$16,839 交易量
No
16°C
$16,186 交易量
Yes
17°C
$14,432 交易量
No
18°C
$9,238 交易量
No
19°C
$10,590 交易量
No
20°C
$11,713 交易量
No
21°C
$8,472 交易量
No
22°C
$5,278 交易量
No
23°C or higher
$5,541 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 16°C high in Helsinki on June 17, 2026, reflects converging official observations and late-day model guidance showing limited daytime warming.** Persistent northwesterly flow advecting cool maritime air, combined with overcast or broken cloud cover and light showers, has suppressed solar heating and kept maximum temperatures capped near this level. Finnish Meteorological Institute data and European ensemble forecasts consistently point to afternoon readings around 15–16°C under these conditions, aligning with the market-implied outcome.
Realistic challenges remain narrow but include a sharper-than-expected wind shift or rapid cloud break that could allow brief additional warming before sunset. However, with the day advanced and observations already clustering tightly around 16°C, such shifts are unlikely to alter the daily maximum. This skin-in-the-game consensus underscores how real-time meteorological constraints—rather than climatological averages near 19°C—have driven the decisive positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
交易量
$147,790结束日期
2026-06-17市场开放时间
Jun 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 16°C high in Helsinki on June 17, 2026, reflects converging official observations and late-day model guidance showing limited daytime warming.** Persistent northwesterly flow advecting cool maritime air, combined with overcast or broken cloud cover and light showers, has suppressed solar heating and kept maximum temperatures capped near this level. Finnish Meteorological Institute data and European ensemble forecasts consistently point to afternoon readings around 15–16°C under these conditions, aligning with the market-implied outcome.
Realistic challenges remain narrow but include a sharper-than-expected wind shift or rapid cloud break that could allow brief additional warming before sunset. However, with the day advanced and observations already clustering tightly around 16°C, such shifts are unlikely to alter the daily maximum. This skin-in-the-game consensus underscores how real-time meteorological constraints—rather than climatological averages near 19°C—have driven the decisive positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$147,790结束日期
2026-06-17市场开放时间
Jun 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
**Trader consensus at 100% for a 16°C high in Helsinki on June 17, 2026, reflects converging official observations and late-day model guidance showing limited daytime warming.** Persistent northwesterly flow advecting cool maritime air, combined with overcast or broken cloud cover and light showers, has suppressed solar heating and kept maximum temperatures capped near this level. Finnish Meteorological Institute data and European ensemble forecasts consistently point to afternoon readings around 15–16°C under these conditions, aligning with the market-implied outcome. Realistic challenges remain narrow but include a sharper-than-expected wind shift or rapid cloud break that could allow brief additional warming before sunset. However, with the day advanced and observations already clustering tightly around 16°C, such shifts are unlikely to alter the daily maximum. This skin-in-the-game consensus underscores how real-time meteorological constraints—rather than climatological averages near 19°C—have driven the decisive positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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