Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Houston's April 16 high, with the latest guidance from the Houston/Galveston office calling for partly sunny skies and a temperature near 83°F at key stations like Hobby Airport amid a persistent high-pressure ridge aloft. This setup follows a recent record-tying 86°F high, fueling bets on 86-87°F (32.5%) versus 84-85°F (30.0%), differentiated by model spread—GFS leaning slightly warmer with stronger subsidence, while ECMWF shows more afternoon clouds potentially capping peaks. Sea breeze timing, urban heat effects, and humidity around 60% add variability; watch final NWS updates today for shifts ahead of tomorrow's observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Houston on April 16?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 16?
86-87°F 34%
84-85°F 32%
82-83°F 15%
88-89°F 12%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
15%
84-85°F
32%
86-87°F
34%
88-89°F
12%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
2%
94°F or higher
2%
86-87°F 34%
84-85°F 32%
82-83°F 15%
88-89°F 12%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
75°F or below
$167 交易量
1%
76-77°F
$149 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$196 交易量
1%
80-81°F
$64 交易量
4%
82-83°F
$25 交易量
15%
84-85°F
$44 交易量
32%
86-87°F
$99 交易量
34%
88-89°F
$41 交易量
12%
90-91°F
$45 交易量
9%
92-93°F
$54 交易量
2%
94°F or higher
$150 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Houston's April 16 high, with the latest guidance from the Houston/Galveston office calling for partly sunny skies and a temperature near 83°F at key stations like Hobby Airport amid a persistent high-pressure ridge aloft. This setup follows a recent record-tying 86°F high, fueling bets on 86-87°F (32.5%) versus 84-85°F (30.0%), differentiated by model spread—GFS leaning slightly warmer with stronger subsidence, while ECMWF shows more afternoon clouds potentially capping peaks. Sea breeze timing, urban heat effects, and humidity around 60% add variability; watch final NWS updates today for shifts ahead of tomorrow's observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
交易量
$1,010结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Houston's April 16 high, with the latest guidance from the Houston/Galveston office calling for partly sunny skies and a temperature near 83°F at key stations like Hobby Airport amid a persistent high-pressure ridge aloft. This setup follows a recent record-tying 86°F high, fueling bets on 86-87°F (32.5%) versus 84-85°F (30.0%), differentiated by model spread—GFS leaning slightly warmer with stronger subsidence, while ECMWF shows more afternoon clouds potentially capping peaks. Sea breeze timing, urban heat effects, and humidity around 60% add variability; watch final NWS updates today for shifts ahead of tomorrow's observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,010结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Houston's April 16 high, with the latest guidance from the Houston/Galveston office calling for partly sunny skies and a temperature near 83°F at key stations like Hobby Airport amid a persistent high-pressure ridge aloft. This setup follows a recent record-tying 86°F high, fueling bets on 86-87°F (32.5%) versus 84-85°F (30.0%), differentiated by model spread—GFS leaning slightly warmer with stronger subsidence, while ECMWF shows more afternoon clouds potentially capping peaks. Sea breeze timing, urban heat effects, and humidity around 60% add variability; watch final NWS updates today for shifts ahead of tomorrow's observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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