National Weather Service forecasts for Houston indicate a high near 86°F on April 17 under mostly sunny skies and high pressure dominance, supporting potential for upper-80s warmth similar to recent days' upper 70s-to-80s highs with sparse rain. However, trader consensus clusters around 82-83°F at 39.5% implied probability, driven by ensemble model runs showing 20-65% odds of afternoon clouds or isolated showers that could cap peak heating via increased cloud cover and reduced insolation. Southeasterly winds around 10 mph and overnight lows in the upper 60s add humidity, fostering diurnal instability. Historical April highs average 79°F, but this warmer pattern persists; final NWS hourly guidance today will likely sharpen market odds before resolution at Houston's official observing site.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Houston on April 17?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 17?
82-83°F 39%
84-85°F 31%
80-81°F 16%
86-87°F 11%
$11,900 交易量
$11,900 交易量
79°F or below
5%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
31%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 39%
84-85°F 31%
80-81°F 16%
86-87°F 11%
$11,900 交易量
$11,900 交易量
79°F or below
5%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
31%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service forecasts for Houston indicate a high near 86°F on April 17 under mostly sunny skies and high pressure dominance, supporting potential for upper-80s warmth similar to recent days' upper 70s-to-80s highs with sparse rain. However, trader consensus clusters around 82-83°F at 39.5% implied probability, driven by ensemble model runs showing 20-65% odds of afternoon clouds or isolated showers that could cap peak heating via increased cloud cover and reduced insolation. Southeasterly winds around 10 mph and overnight lows in the upper 60s add humidity, fostering diurnal instability. Historical April highs average 79°F, but this warmer pattern persists; final NWS hourly guidance today will likely sharpen market odds before resolution at Houston's official observing site.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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