Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature around 82-84°F for Houston on April 18, with 44% odds for 84°F or higher leading due to persistent high pressure ridge overhead promoting subsidence, clear skies, and light southerly winds fostering warm advection. National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project highs in the low to mid-80s, consistent with recent observations of upper-70s to low-80s this week amid above-normal April temperatures (averaging 78-80°F historically). Low precipitation chances (under 20%) minimize cooling effects, though thin high clouds could cap peaks below 85°F. New forecast updates expected Thursday afternoon from NOAA may refine trajectories as the ridge strengthens.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Houston on April 18?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 18?
84°F or higher 49%
82-83°F 27%
80-81°F 10%
78-79°F 4.0%
最新
最新
2026-04-18
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
27%
84°F or higher
49%
84°F or higher 49%
82-83°F 27%
80-81°F 10%
78-79°F 4.0%
最新
最新
2026-04-18
65°F or below
$1,304 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$730 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$827 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$683 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$349 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$471 交易量
1%
76-77°F
$205 交易量
2%
78-79°F
$402 交易量
4%
80-81°F
$253 交易量
10%
82-83°F
$326 交易量
27%
84°F or higher
$202 交易量
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature around 82-84°F for Houston on April 18, with 44% odds for 84°F or higher leading due to persistent high pressure ridge overhead promoting subsidence, clear skies, and light southerly winds fostering warm advection. National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project highs in the low to mid-80s, consistent with recent observations of upper-70s to low-80s this week amid above-normal April temperatures (averaging 78-80°F historically). Low precipitation chances (under 20%) minimize cooling effects, though thin high clouds could cap peaks below 85°F. New forecast updates expected Thursday afternoon from NOAA may refine trajectories as the ridge strengthens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 1:36 AM ET
交易量
$5,751结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 1:36 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature around 82-84°F for Houston on April 18, with 44% odds for 84°F or higher leading due to persistent high pressure ridge overhead promoting subsidence, clear skies, and light southerly winds fostering warm advection. National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project highs in the low to mid-80s, consistent with recent observations of upper-70s to low-80s this week amid above-normal April temperatures (averaging 78-80°F historically). Low precipitation chances (under 20%) minimize cooling effects, though thin high clouds could cap peaks below 85°F. New forecast updates expected Thursday afternoon from NOAA may refine trajectories as the ridge strengthens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$5,751结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 1:36 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature around 82-84°F for Houston on April 18, with 44% odds for 84°F or higher leading due to persistent high pressure ridge overhead promoting subsidence, clear skies, and light southerly winds fostering warm advection. National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project highs in the low to mid-80s, consistent with recent observations of upper-70s to low-80s this week amid above-normal April temperatures (averaging 78-80°F historically). Low precipitation chances (under 20%) minimize cooling effects, though thin high clouds could cap peaks below 85°F. New forecast updates expected Thursday afternoon from NOAA may refine trajectories as the ridge strengthens.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题