Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 72-75°F for Houston's highest temperature at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) on April 19, driven by National Weather Service forecasts of a cold front sweeping Southeast Texas this weekend, as updated April 16. Recent model runs show scattered showers and thunderstorms ahead of the front inhibiting solar heating, with post-frontal northerly winds and cloud cover capping highs below recent 80s. Differentiating the tight 70-71°F (19.5%), 72-73°F (29%), and 74-75°F (23.5%) odds are uncertainties in frontal timing—earlier passage boosts lower ranges via prolonged overcast skies, while slight delays allow mid-afternoon peaks near 75°F. New 18Z GFS/ECMWF guidance and NWS updates will sharpen these probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Houston on April 19?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 19?
72-73°F 28%
74-75°F 26%
70-71°F 17%
76-77°F 8%
65°F or below
2%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
2%
84°F or higher
1%
72-73°F 28%
74-75°F 26%
70-71°F 17%
76-77°F 8%
65°F or below
2%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
2%
84°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 17, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 72-75°F for Houston's highest temperature at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) on April 19, driven by National Weather Service forecasts of a cold front sweeping Southeast Texas this weekend, as updated April 16. Recent model runs show scattered showers and thunderstorms ahead of the front inhibiting solar heating, with post-frontal northerly winds and cloud cover capping highs below recent 80s. Differentiating the tight 70-71°F (19.5%), 72-73°F (29%), and 74-75°F (23.5%) odds are uncertainties in frontal timing—earlier passage boosts lower ranges via prolonged overcast skies, while slight delays allow mid-afternoon peaks near 75°F. New 18Z GFS/ECMWF guidance and NWS updates will sharpen these probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题