Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 70-71°F on April 20, backed by preliminary observations from the resolving station, William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) via Weather Underground, confirming the peak reached within that range under overcast skies and lingering cool air mass. National Weather Service data aligns, with late-afternoon readings around 64-66°F at nearby Intercontinental Airport (KIAH) and NOAA's citywide average of 70.3°F—5.3°F above the 1991-2020 mean but far below typical April highs near 79°F—reflecting post-frontal northerly flow and cloud-induced suppression of daytime heating. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from automated sensors, though final certified reports expected soon reinforce the positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Houston on April 20?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 20?
70-71°F 100.0%
65°F或以下 <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$126,024 交易量
$126,024 交易量
2026-04-20
65°F或以下
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
是
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
70-71°F 100.0%
65°F或以下 <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$126,024 交易量
$126,024 交易量
2026-04-20
65°F或以下
$4,875 交易量
否
66-67°F
$8,087 交易量
否
68-69°F
$44,111 交易量
否
70-71°F
$19,163 交易量
是
72-73°F
$11,476 交易量
否
74-75°F
$12,521 交易量
否
76-77°F
$10,927 交易量
否
78-79°F
$4,233 交易量
No
80-81°F
$3,402 交易量
No
82-83°F
$4,125 交易量
No
84°F or higher
$3,103 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 70-71°F on April 20, backed by preliminary observations from the resolving station, William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) via Weather Underground, confirming the peak reached within that range under overcast skies and lingering cool air mass. National Weather Service data aligns, with late-afternoon readings around 64-66°F at nearby Intercontinental Airport (KIAH) and NOAA's citywide average of 70.3°F—5.3°F above the 1991-2020 mean but far below typical April highs near 79°F—reflecting post-frontal northerly flow and cloud-induced suppression of daytime heating. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from automated sensors, though final certified reports expected soon reinforce the positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 18, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
交易量
$126,024结束日期
2026-04-20市场开放时间
Apr 18, 2026, 12:10 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 70-71°F on April 20, backed by preliminary observations from the resolving station, William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) via Weather Underground, confirming the peak reached within that range under overcast skies and lingering cool air mass. National Weather Service data aligns, with late-afternoon readings around 64-66°F at nearby Intercontinental Airport (KIAH) and NOAA's citywide average of 70.3°F—5.3°F above the 1991-2020 mean but far below typical April highs near 79°F—reflecting post-frontal northerly flow and cloud-induced suppression of daytime heating. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from automated sensors, though final certified reports expected soon reinforce the positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$126,024结束日期
2026-04-20市场开放时间
Apr 18, 2026, 12:10 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 70-71°F on April 20, backed by preliminary observations from the resolving station, William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) via Weather Underground, confirming the peak reached within that range under overcast skies and lingering cool air mass. National Weather Service data aligns, with late-afternoon readings around 64-66°F at nearby Intercontinental Airport (KIAH) and NOAA's citywide average of 70.3°F—5.3°F above the 1991-2020 mean but far below typical April highs near 79°F—reflecting post-frontal northerly flow and cloud-induced suppression of daytime heating. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from automated sensors, though final certified reports expected soon reinforce the positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题