Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs place Houston’s July 5 high in the mid-90s under a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors subsidence and limited cloud cover. Differentiation between the closely matched 92–93 °F, 94–95 °F, and 96–97 °F brackets hinges on small forecast differences in boundary-layer moisture, the inland penetration of the afternoon sea breeze, and the timing or coverage of any isolated thunderstorms that could briefly reduce insolation. With climatological normals near 94–95 °F and above-average 500-hPa heights already observed, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution guidance most heavily as resolution approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月5日休斯顿的最高温度？
7月5日休斯顿的最高温度？
98-99°F 100.0%
83°F或以下 <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$53,744 交易量
$53,744 交易量
2026-07-05
83°F或以下
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92-93°F
否
94-95°F
否
96-97°F
否
98-99°F
是
100-101°F
否
102°F或更高
否
98-99°F 100.0%
83°F或以下 <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$53,744 交易量
$53,744 交易量
2026-07-05
83°F或以下
$1,857 交易量
否
84-85°F
$2,762 交易量
否
86-87°F
$2,396 交易量
否
88-89°F
$2,620 交易量
否
90-91°F
$4,356 交易量
否
92-93°F
$7,646 交易量
否
94-95°F
$8,233 交易量
否
96-97°F
$10,627 交易量
否
98-99°F
$6,491 交易量
是
100-101°F
$4,201 交易量
否
102°F或更高
$2,556 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs place Houston’s July 5 high in the mid-90s under a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors subsidence and limited cloud cover. Differentiation between the closely matched 92–93 °F, 94–95 °F, and 96–97 °F brackets hinges on small forecast differences in boundary-layer moisture, the inland penetration of the afternoon sea breeze, and the timing or coverage of any isolated thunderstorms that could briefly reduce insolation. With climatological normals near 94–95 °F and above-average 500-hPa heights already observed, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution guidance most heavily as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$53,744结束日期
2026-07-05市场开放时间
Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs place Houston’s July 5 high in the mid-90s under a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors subsidence and limited cloud cover. Differentiation between the closely matched 92–93 °F, 94–95 °F, and 96–97 °F brackets hinges on small forecast differences in boundary-layer moisture, the inland penetration of the afternoon sea breeze, and the timing or coverage of any isolated thunderstorms that could briefly reduce insolation. With climatological normals near 94–95 °F and above-average 500-hPa heights already observed, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution guidance most heavily as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$53,744结束日期
2026-07-05市场开放时间
Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs place Houston’s July 5 high in the mid-90s under a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors subsidence and limited cloud cover. Differentiation between the closely matched 92–93 °F, 94–95 °F, and 96–97 °F brackets hinges on small forecast differences in boundary-layer moisture, the inland penetration of the afternoon sea breeze, and the timing or coverage of any isolated thunderstorms that could briefly reduce insolation. With climatological normals near 94–95 °F and above-average 500-hPa heights already observed, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution guidance most heavily as resolution approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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