The dominant market consensus on an 82-83°F high for Houston on June 15, 2026, reflects the official observation from the primary reporting station, well below the long-term June average of 91-92°F. A cold front advancing into Southeast Texas introduced northerly flow and increased cloud cover, limiting daytime heating despite typical early-summer solar angles. Forecasters had anticipated this shift days earlier, with model consensus correctly projecting highs in the low 80s amid showers and reduced insolation. This outcome aligns with historical analogs of frontal passages in mid-June that temporarily suppress temperatures by 8-12°F. The positioning would face realistic revision only if post-event quality-control adjustments to the station data shifted the verified maximum outside that narrow bin, though such changes are uncommon once preliminary reports are issued.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月15日休斯顿的最高温度?
82-83°F 100.0%
75°F或以下 <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$45,817 交易量
$45,817 交易量
75°F或以下
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
是
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92-93°F
否
94°F或更高
否
82-83°F 100.0%
75°F或以下 <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$45,817 交易量
$45,817 交易量
75°F或以下
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
是
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92-93°F
否
94°F或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 13, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The dominant market consensus on an 82-83°F high for Houston on June 15, 2026, reflects the official observation from the primary reporting station, well below the long-term June average of 91-92°F. A cold front advancing into Southeast Texas introduced northerly flow and increased cloud cover, limiting daytime heating despite typical early-summer solar angles. Forecasters had anticipated this shift days earlier, with model consensus correctly projecting highs in the low 80s amid showers and reduced insolation. This outcome aligns with historical analogs of frontal passages in mid-June that temporarily suppress temperatures by 8-12°F. The positioning would face realistic revision only if post-event quality-control adjustments to the station data shifted the verified maximum outside that narrow bin, though such changes are uncommon once preliminary reports are issued.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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