Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show Istanbul's highest temperature on April 18 clustering tightly around 13–15°C, driving trader consensus with implied probabilities of 32% for 13°C, 26% for 14°C, and 25% for 15°C amid a cool northerly airflow and persistent cloud cover limiting solar heating. Current observations indicate overcast skies and north-northeast winds at 10–20 mph (16–32 km/h), keeping daytime highs below seasonal norms of about 16°C. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences on afternoon cloud breaks—ECMWF leaning slightly cooler with thicker low-level stratus, while GFS hints at minor clearing—along with urban heat effects in Istanbul's measurement sites. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and final observations will refine this before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 18?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 18?
13°C 35%
14°C 26%
15°C 24%
12°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-18
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
14%
13°C
35%
14°C
26%
15°C
24%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 35%
14°C 26%
15°C 24%
12°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-18
9°C or below
$786 交易量
<1%
10°C
$736 交易量
1%
11°C
$1,052 交易量
4%
12°C
$949 交易量
14%
13°C
$626 交易量
35%
14°C
$543 交易量
26%
15°C
$1,318 交易量
24%
16°C
$695 交易量
1%
17°C
$455 交易量
1%
18°C
$466 交易量
<1%
19°C or higher
$852 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show Istanbul's highest temperature on April 18 clustering tightly around 13–15°C, driving trader consensus with implied probabilities of 32% for 13°C, 26% for 14°C, and 25% for 15°C amid a cool northerly airflow and persistent cloud cover limiting solar heating. Current observations indicate overcast skies and north-northeast winds at 10–20 mph (16–32 km/h), keeping daytime highs below seasonal norms of about 16°C. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences on afternoon cloud breaks—ECMWF leaning slightly cooler with thicker low-level stratus, while GFS hints at minor clearing—along with urban heat effects in Istanbul's measurement sites. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and final observations will refine this before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 1:50 AM ET
交易量
$8,444结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 1:50 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show Istanbul's highest temperature on April 18 clustering tightly around 13–15°C, driving trader consensus with implied probabilities of 32% for 13°C, 26% for 14°C, and 25% for 15°C amid a cool northerly airflow and persistent cloud cover limiting solar heating. Current observations indicate overcast skies and north-northeast winds at 10–20 mph (16–32 km/h), keeping daytime highs below seasonal norms of about 16°C. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences on afternoon cloud breaks—ECMWF leaning slightly cooler with thicker low-level stratus, while GFS hints at minor clearing—along with urban heat effects in Istanbul's measurement sites. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and final observations will refine this before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$8,444结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 1:50 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show Istanbul's highest temperature on April 18 clustering tightly around 13–15°C, driving trader consensus with implied probabilities of 32% for 13°C, 26% for 14°C, and 25% for 15°C amid a cool northerly airflow and persistent cloud cover limiting solar heating. Current observations indicate overcast skies and north-northeast winds at 10–20 mph (16–32 km/h), keeping daytime highs below seasonal norms of about 16°C. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences on afternoon cloud breaks—ECMWF leaning slightly cooler with thicker low-level stratus, while GFS hints at minor clearing—along with urban heat effects in Istanbul's measurement sites. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and final observations will refine this before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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