Recent observational data from Istanbul's primary monitoring stations confirm a peak temperature of 23°C on June 17, driven by persistent marine air advection from the Black Sea combined with extensive low-level cloud cover that limited daytime solar heating. This setup aligns with regional model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs, which accurately captured the suppressed thermal boundary layer and modest onshore flow preventing typical June warming. Historical climatology shows such conditions occur when a transient high-pressure ridge stalls over the Balkans, capping highs near the seasonal mean low end. The market's 100% consensus on 23°C reflects this robust agreement across verified surface observations. Only an unforecasted late-day clearing or localized urban heat island spike exceeding 1°C at the resolution station could alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月17日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
6月17日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
23°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$46,494 交易量
$46,494 交易量
2026-06-17
19°C或以下
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
是
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C或更高
否
23°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$46,494 交易量
$46,494 交易量
2026-06-17
19°C或以下
$321 交易量
否
20°C
$1,015 交易量
否
21°C
$1,680 交易量
否
22°C
$4,072 交易量
否
23°C
$9,958 交易量
是
24°C
$8,086 交易量
否
25°C
$5,926 交易量
否
26°C
$4,978 交易量
否
27°C
$3,826 交易量
否
28°C
$3,948 交易量
否
29°C或更高
$2,685 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Istanbul's primary monitoring stations confirm a peak temperature of 23°C on June 17, driven by persistent marine air advection from the Black Sea combined with extensive low-level cloud cover that limited daytime solar heating. This setup aligns with regional model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs, which accurately captured the suppressed thermal boundary layer and modest onshore flow preventing typical June warming. Historical climatology shows such conditions occur when a transient high-pressure ridge stalls over the Balkans, capping highs near the seasonal mean low end. The market's 100% consensus on 23°C reflects this robust agreement across verified surface observations. Only an unforecasted late-day clearing or localized urban heat island spike exceeding 1°C at the resolution station could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$46,494结束日期
2026-06-17市场开放时间
Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Istanbul's primary monitoring stations confirm a peak temperature of 23°C on June 17, driven by persistent marine air advection from the Black Sea combined with extensive low-level cloud cover that limited daytime solar heating. This setup aligns with regional model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs, which accurately captured the suppressed thermal boundary layer and modest onshore flow preventing typical June warming. Historical climatology shows such conditions occur when a transient high-pressure ridge stalls over the Balkans, capping highs near the seasonal mean low end. The market's 100% consensus on 23°C reflects this robust agreement across verified surface observations. Only an unforecasted late-day clearing or localized urban heat island spike exceeding 1°C at the resolution station could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$46,494结束日期
2026-06-17市场开放时间
Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent observational data from Istanbul's primary monitoring stations confirm a peak temperature of 23°C on June 17, driven by persistent marine air advection from the Black Sea combined with extensive low-level cloud cover that limited daytime solar heating. This setup aligns with regional model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs, which accurately captured the suppressed thermal boundary layer and modest onshore flow preventing typical June warming. Historical climatology shows such conditions occur when a transient high-pressure ridge stalls over the Balkans, capping highs near the seasonal mean low end. The market's 100% consensus on 23°C reflects this robust agreement across verified surface observations. Only an unforecasted late-day clearing or localized urban heat island spike exceeding 1°C at the resolution station could alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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