Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate Istanbul's June 23 maximum will likely fall between 25–27°C, driven by moderate high-pressure influence, light northerly winds across the Bosphorus, and limited cloud cover allowing typical early-summer insolation. Sea-breeze effects from the Marmara and Black Seas may cap afternoon peaks near 26°C while suppressing stronger warming. Ensemble spreads reflect genuine uncertainty from minor shifts in steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture, keeping 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes closely matched in trader pricing. Updated model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 23?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 23?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$61,082 交易量
$61,082 交易量
2026-06-23
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$61,082 交易量
$61,082 交易量
2026-06-23
21°C or below
$843 交易量
No
22°C
$490 交易量
No
23°C
$1,920 交易量
No
24°C
$3,563 交易量
No
25°C
$11,061 交易量
No
26°C
$17,538 交易量
Yes
27°C
$5,772 交易量
No
28°C
$13,081 交易量
No
29°C
$3,938 交易量
No
30°C
$1,200 交易量
No
31°C or higher
$1,676 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate Istanbul's June 23 maximum will likely fall between 25–27°C, driven by moderate high-pressure influence, light northerly winds across the Bosphorus, and limited cloud cover allowing typical early-summer insolation. Sea-breeze effects from the Marmara and Black Seas may cap afternoon peaks near 26°C while suppressing stronger warming. Ensemble spreads reflect genuine uncertainty from minor shifts in steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture, keeping 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes closely matched in trader pricing. Updated model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 21, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
交易量
$61,082结束日期
2026-06-23市场开放时间
Jun 21, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate Istanbul's June 23 maximum will likely fall between 25–27°C, driven by moderate high-pressure influence, light northerly winds across the Bosphorus, and limited cloud cover allowing typical early-summer insolation. Sea-breeze effects from the Marmara and Black Seas may cap afternoon peaks near 26°C while suppressing stronger warming. Ensemble spreads reflect genuine uncertainty from minor shifts in steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture, keeping 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes closely matched in trader pricing. Updated model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$61,082结束日期
2026-06-23市场开放时间
Jun 21, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate Istanbul's June 23 maximum will likely fall between 25–27°C, driven by moderate high-pressure influence, light northerly winds across the Bosphorus, and limited cloud cover allowing typical early-summer insolation. Sea-breeze effects from the Marmara and Black Seas may cap afternoon peaks near 26°C while suppressing stronger warming. Ensemble spreads reflect genuine uncertainty from minor shifts in steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture, keeping 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes closely matched in trader pricing. Updated model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题