Current meteorological conditions and forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate that Istanbul will reach or exceed 31°C as the daily high on June 4, driven by persistent warm air advection and clear skies under a dominant high-pressure ridge. This aligns with typical early-summer climatology for the region, where June averages climb steadily from May baselines, though model consensus shows limited variability in peak readings today. Trader consensus at near-certainty levels reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-term numerical weather prediction for this timeframe, with resolution hinging on official maximum observations at standardized stations. A sudden shift in cloud cover or an unexpected frontal passage could theoretically lower readings, but such changes appear unlikely given the stable synoptic setup.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 4?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 4?
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$19,046 交易量
$19,046 交易量
2026-06-04
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
Yes
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$19,046 交易量
$19,046 交易量
2026-06-04
21°C or below
$138 交易量
No
22°C
$136 交易量
No
23°C
$147 交易量
No
24°C
$687 交易量
No
25°C
$139 交易量
No
26°C
$1,579 交易量
No
27°C
$1,064 交易量
No
28°C
$1,680 交易量
No
29°C
$2,471 交易量
No
30°C
$4,030 交易量
No
31°C or higher
$6,976 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological conditions and forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate that Istanbul will reach or exceed 31°C as the daily high on June 4, driven by persistent warm air advection and clear skies under a dominant high-pressure ridge. This aligns with typical early-summer climatology for the region, where June averages climb steadily from May baselines, though model consensus shows limited variability in peak readings today. Trader consensus at near-certainty levels reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-term numerical weather prediction for this timeframe, with resolution hinging on official maximum observations at standardized stations. A sudden shift in cloud cover or an unexpected frontal passage could theoretically lower readings, but such changes appear unlikely given the stable synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$19,046结束日期
2026-06-04市场开放时间
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological conditions and forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate that Istanbul will reach or exceed 31°C as the daily high on June 4, driven by persistent warm air advection and clear skies under a dominant high-pressure ridge. This aligns with typical early-summer climatology for the region, where June averages climb steadily from May baselines, though model consensus shows limited variability in peak readings today. Trader consensus at near-certainty levels reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-term numerical weather prediction for this timeframe, with resolution hinging on official maximum observations at standardized stations. A sudden shift in cloud cover or an unexpected frontal passage could theoretically lower readings, but such changes appear unlikely given the stable synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$19,046结束日期
2026-06-04市场开放时间
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Current meteorological conditions and forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate that Istanbul will reach or exceed 31°C as the daily high on June 4, driven by persistent warm air advection and clear skies under a dominant high-pressure ridge. This aligns with typical early-summer climatology for the region, where June averages climb steadily from May baselines, though model consensus shows limited variability in peak readings today. Trader consensus at near-certainty levels reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-term numerical weather prediction for this timeframe, with resolution hinging on official maximum observations at standardized stations. A sudden shift in cloud cover or an unexpected frontal passage could theoretically lower readings, but such changes appear unlikely given the stable synoptic setup.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题