Recent meteorological observations from Istanbul stations indicate a daily maximum temperature of 22°C, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Official forecasts from regional agencies aligned closely with this reading throughout the day, consistent with typical early-June conditions where highs average 24–26°C but can vary with local wind patterns and cloud cover. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time data rather than models alone. Uncertainties such as final official verification from the Turkish State Meteorological Service or minor adjustments in station reporting could still alter resolution if discrepancies emerge before settlement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 6?
22°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$73,097 交易量
$73,097 交易量
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$73,097 交易量
$73,097 交易量
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 5, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Recent meteorological observations from Istanbul stations indicate a daily maximum temperature of 22°C, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Official forecasts from regional agencies aligned closely with this reading throughout the day, consistent with typical early-June conditions where highs average 24–26°C but can vary with local wind patterns and cloud cover. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time data rather than models alone. Uncertainties such as final official verification from the Turkish State Meteorological Service or minor adjustments in station reporting could still alter resolution if discrepancies emerge before settlement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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