Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching exactly 34°C on May 7, driven by confirmed observational data from the King Abdulaziz International Airport meteorological station, the official resolution source under National Center for Meteorology (NCM) monitoring. Hourly records show the peak hit 34°C midday amid stable high-pressure conditions and moderating sea breezes from the Red Sea, aligning with recent forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting no exceedance. May climatological averages hover around 36°C, but today's cooler profile reflects lower solar insolation and light cloud cover. A realistic challenge would require a rare late-afternoon heat burst from clearing skies or preliminary data revision during NCM quality checks, though evening cooling now minimizes this risk. Final daily bulletin expected shortly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 7?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 7?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$28,829 交易量
$28,829 交易量
2026-05-07
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$28,829 交易量
$28,829 交易量
2026-05-07
27°C or below
$559 交易量
No
28°C
$1,817 交易量
No
29°C
$987 交易量
No
30°C
$1,403 交易量
No
31°C
$2,892 交易量
No
32°C
$3,010 交易量
No
33°C
$2,548 交易量
No
34°C
$4,317 交易量
Yes
35°C
$1,971 交易量
No
36°C
$6,578 交易量
No
37°C or higher
$2,747 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching exactly 34°C on May 7, driven by confirmed observational data from the King Abdulaziz International Airport meteorological station, the official resolution source under National Center for Meteorology (NCM) monitoring. Hourly records show the peak hit 34°C midday amid stable high-pressure conditions and moderating sea breezes from the Red Sea, aligning with recent forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting no exceedance. May climatological averages hover around 36°C, but today's cooler profile reflects lower solar insolation and light cloud cover. A realistic challenge would require a rare late-afternoon heat burst from clearing skies or preliminary data revision during NCM quality checks, though evening cooling now minimizes this risk. Final daily bulletin expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 5, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
交易量
$28,829结束日期
2026-05-07市场开放时间
May 5, 2026, 12:34 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching exactly 34°C on May 7, driven by confirmed observational data from the King Abdulaziz International Airport meteorological station, the official resolution source under National Center for Meteorology (NCM) monitoring. Hourly records show the peak hit 34°C midday amid stable high-pressure conditions and moderating sea breezes from the Red Sea, aligning with recent forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting no exceedance. May climatological averages hover around 36°C, but today's cooler profile reflects lower solar insolation and light cloud cover. A realistic challenge would require a rare late-afternoon heat burst from clearing skies or preliminary data revision during NCM quality checks, though evening cooling now minimizes this risk. Final daily bulletin expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$28,829结束日期
2026-05-07市场开放时间
May 5, 2026, 12:34 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching exactly 34°C on May 7, driven by confirmed observational data from the King Abdulaziz International Airport meteorological station, the official resolution source under National Center for Meteorology (NCM) monitoring. Hourly records show the peak hit 34°C midday amid stable high-pressure conditions and moderating sea breezes from the Red Sea, aligning with recent forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting no exceedance. May climatological averages hover around 36°C, but today's cooler profile reflects lower solar insolation and light cloud cover. A realistic challenge would require a rare late-afternoon heat burst from clearing skies or preliminary data revision during NCM quality checks, though evening cooling now minimizes this risk. Final daily bulletin expected shortly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题