Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (MMIA) in Lagos confirm a highest temperature of 32°C on April 26, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome, as traders align with verified METAR reports and NiMet synoptic data. This aligns with NiMet's pre-event outlook for sunny mornings transitioning to isolated thunderstorms, moderating peaks amid sea-breeze influences typical of Lagos's tropical maritime climate, where April averages hover around 32°C. Forecast models like those from BBC Weather had clustered 31–33°C projections, matching the observed peak. Realistic challenges would require rare post-verification revisions by NiMet or discrepancies in archived data, though such alterations are exceedingly uncommon for established airport stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Lagos on April 26?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 26?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$48,635 交易量
$48,635 交易量
2026-04-26
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$48,635 交易量
$48,635 交易量
2026-04-26
27°C or below
$4,491 交易量
No
28°C
$12,114 交易量
No
29°C
$1,880 交易量
No
30°C
$2,016 交易量
No
31°C
$3,715 交易量
No
32°C
$11,783 交易量
Yes
33°C
$2,874 交易量
No
34°C
$2,692 交易量
No
35°C
$2,496 交易量
No
36°C
$2,533 交易量
No
37°C or higher
$2,041 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (MMIA) in Lagos confirm a highest temperature of 32°C on April 26, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome, as traders align with verified METAR reports and NiMet synoptic data. This aligns with NiMet's pre-event outlook for sunny mornings transitioning to isolated thunderstorms, moderating peaks amid sea-breeze influences typical of Lagos's tropical maritime climate, where April averages hover around 32°C. Forecast models like those from BBC Weather had clustered 31–33°C projections, matching the observed peak. Realistic challenges would require rare post-verification revisions by NiMet or discrepancies in archived data, though such alterations are exceedingly uncommon for established airport stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$48,635结束日期
2026-04-26市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (MMIA) in Lagos confirm a highest temperature of 32°C on April 26, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome, as traders align with verified METAR reports and NiMet synoptic data. This aligns with NiMet's pre-event outlook for sunny mornings transitioning to isolated thunderstorms, moderating peaks amid sea-breeze influences typical of Lagos's tropical maritime climate, where April averages hover around 32°C. Forecast models like those from BBC Weather had clustered 31–33°C projections, matching the observed peak. Realistic challenges would require rare post-verification revisions by NiMet or discrepancies in archived data, though such alterations are exceedingly uncommon for established airport stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$48,635结束日期
2026-04-26市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (MMIA) in Lagos confirm a highest temperature of 32°C on April 26, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome, as traders align with verified METAR reports and NiMet synoptic data. This aligns with NiMet's pre-event outlook for sunny mornings transitioning to isolated thunderstorms, moderating peaks amid sea-breeze influences typical of Lagos's tropical maritime climate, where April averages hover around 32°C. Forecast models like those from BBC Weather had clustered 31–33°C projections, matching the observed peak. Realistic challenges would require rare post-verification revisions by NiMet or discrepancies in archived data, though such alterations are exceedingly uncommon for established airport stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题