Official observations from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport weather station, the authoritative source for this market, recorded Lagos's highest temperature at precisely 34°C on May 9, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as data feeds updated overnight. This aligns with NiMet's seasonal climate outlook for extended rainy periods in southern Nigeria, featuring partly cloudy skies, isolated thunderstorms, and highs moderated by 87% average cloud cover and humidity above 80%, capping peaks below typical dry-season extremes around 35–37°C. Historical May averages hover at 31°C, making 34°C a plausible upper bound under current La Niña-influenced patterns suppressing prolonged heat. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument calibration errors or alternative station validations, though NiMet summaries rarely shift post-release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Lagos on May 9?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$48,236 交易量
$48,236 交易量
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$48,236 交易量
$48,236 交易量
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 7, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport weather station, the authoritative source for this market, recorded Lagos's highest temperature at precisely 34°C on May 9, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as data feeds updated overnight. This aligns with NiMet's seasonal climate outlook for extended rainy periods in southern Nigeria, featuring partly cloudy skies, isolated thunderstorms, and highs moderated by 87% average cloud cover and humidity above 80%, capping peaks below typical dry-season extremes around 35–37°C. Historical May averages hover at 31°C, making 34°C a plausible upper bound under current La Niña-influenced patterns suppressing prolonged heat. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument calibration errors or alternative station validations, though NiMet summaries rarely shift post-release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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