High pressure dominating southern England supports the current market-implied odds favoring a 32–33°C peak for London on July 9, with Met Office guidance indicating a daytime maximum near 32°C under mostly settled conditions. Recent model consensus from the Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts highlights limited cloud cover and light winds that allow daytime warming, though small variations in timing or moisture could shift the exact high by 1–2°C. Historical July averages around 22–24°C underscore the anomaly, driven by the ongoing warm spell, while traders weigh the latest 48-hour forecast updates against potential convective development that might cap temperatures. Resolution hinges on the official Met Office recorded maximum at a designated London site.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月9日伦敦气温最高？
7月9日伦敦气温最高？
34°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$161,172 交易量
$161,172 交易量
2026-07-09
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$161,172 交易量
$161,172 交易量
2026-07-09
30°C or below
$6,364 交易量
No
31°C
$6,371 交易量
No
32°C
$14,922 交易量
No
33°C
$37,009 交易量
No
34°C
$27,896 交易量
Yes
35°C
$28,216 交易量
No
36°C
$24,519 交易量
No
37°C
$9,734 交易量
No
38°C
$2,299 交易量
No
39°C
$1,670 交易量
No
40°C or higher
$2,172 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High pressure dominating southern England supports the current market-implied odds favoring a 32–33°C peak for London on July 9, with Met Office guidance indicating a daytime maximum near 32°C under mostly settled conditions. Recent model consensus from the Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts highlights limited cloud cover and light winds that allow daytime warming, though small variations in timing or moisture could shift the exact high by 1–2°C. Historical July averages around 22–24°C underscore the anomaly, driven by the ongoing warm spell, while traders weigh the latest 48-hour forecast updates against potential convective development that might cap temperatures. Resolution hinges on the official Met Office recorded maximum at a designated London site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 7, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
交易量
$161,172结束日期
2026-07-09市场开放时间
Jul 7, 2026, 12:01 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High pressure dominating southern England supports the current market-implied odds favoring a 32–33°C peak for London on July 9, with Met Office guidance indicating a daytime maximum near 32°C under mostly settled conditions. Recent model consensus from the Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts highlights limited cloud cover and light winds that allow daytime warming, though small variations in timing or moisture could shift the exact high by 1–2°C. Historical July averages around 22–24°C underscore the anomaly, driven by the ongoing warm spell, while traders weigh the latest 48-hour forecast updates against potential convective development that might cap temperatures. Resolution hinges on the official Met Office recorded maximum at a designated London site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$161,172结束日期
2026-07-09市场开放时间
Jul 7, 2026, 12:01 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
High pressure dominating southern England supports the current market-implied odds favoring a 32–33°C peak for London on July 9, with Met Office guidance indicating a daytime maximum near 32°C under mostly settled conditions. Recent model consensus from the Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts highlights limited cloud cover and light winds that allow daytime warming, though small variations in timing or moisture could shift the exact high by 1–2°C. Historical July averages around 22–24°C underscore the anomaly, driven by the ongoing warm spell, while traders weigh the latest 48-hour forecast updates against potential convective development that might cap temperatures. Resolution hinges on the official Met Office recorded maximum at a designated London site.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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