Met Office forecasts project a daily maximum of 19°C in London on June 4 under Atlantic-driven showers and moderate southwesterly flow, aligning with the market's near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. This reflects typical early-June climatology, where average highs hover near 19–20°C amid variable maritime air masses that limit strong daytime heating. Ensemble model consensus supports this range, with limited potential for warmer advection before cooler Atlantic influences dominate. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing skies or a stronger southerly wind shift allowing temperatures to reach 20°C or higher, though current observations and short-range guidance show low likelihood of such deviation before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in London on June 4?
Highest temperature in London on June 4?
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$304,875 交易量
$304,875 交易量
2026-06-04
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$304,875 交易量
$304,875 交易量
2026-06-04
13°C or below
$3,003 交易量
No
14°C
$1,510 交易量
No
15°C
$10,558 交易量
No
16°C
$18,325 交易量
No
17°C
$42,838 交易量
No
18°C
$38,924 交易量
No
19°C
$64,135 交易量
Yes
20°C
$81,186 交易量
No
21°C
$33,691 交易量
No
22°C
$5,403 交易量
No
23°C or higher
$5,303 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Met Office forecasts project a daily maximum of 19°C in London on June 4 under Atlantic-driven showers and moderate southwesterly flow, aligning with the market's near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. This reflects typical early-June climatology, where average highs hover near 19–20°C amid variable maritime air masses that limit strong daytime heating. Ensemble model consensus supports this range, with limited potential for warmer advection before cooler Atlantic influences dominate. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing skies or a stronger southerly wind shift allowing temperatures to reach 20°C or higher, though current observations and short-range guidance show low likelihood of such deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$304,875结束日期
2026-06-04市场开放时间
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Met Office forecasts project a daily maximum of 19°C in London on June 4 under Atlantic-driven showers and moderate southwesterly flow, aligning with the market's near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. This reflects typical early-June climatology, where average highs hover near 19–20°C amid variable maritime air masses that limit strong daytime heating. Ensemble model consensus supports this range, with limited potential for warmer advection before cooler Atlantic influences dominate. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing skies or a stronger southerly wind shift allowing temperatures to reach 20°C or higher, though current observations and short-range guidance show low likelihood of such deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$304,875结束日期
2026-06-04市场开放时间
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Met Office forecasts project a daily maximum of 19°C in London on June 4 under Atlantic-driven showers and moderate southwesterly flow, aligning with the market's near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. This reflects typical early-June climatology, where average highs hover near 19–20°C amid variable maritime air masses that limit strong daytime heating. Ensemble model consensus supports this range, with limited potential for warmer advection before cooler Atlantic influences dominate. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing skies or a stronger southerly wind shift allowing temperatures to reach 20°C or higher, though current observations and short-range guidance show low likelihood of such deviation before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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