Official Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts establish a 17°C daytime maximum for London on June 6, 2026, under unsettled post-May conditions featuring light rain, moderate south-westerly winds, and limited solar heating that suppressed further warming. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around this value, consistent with climatological norms for early June following the prior month’s heatwave. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 17°C outcome reflects this high-confidence guidance from authoritative sources, with minimal spread in observations and projections. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted rapid clearance of cloud cover or warmer air advection, though current data and model consensus make substantial deviation before resolution highly unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月6日伦敦气温最高?
17°C 100.0%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$215,459 交易量
$215,459 交易量
14°C或以下
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
是
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C或更高
否
17°C 100.0%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$215,459 交易量
$215,459 交易量
14°C或以下
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
是
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts establish a 17°C daytime maximum for London on June 6, 2026, under unsettled post-May conditions featuring light rain, moderate south-westerly winds, and limited solar heating that suppressed further warming. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around this value, consistent with climatological norms for early June following the prior month’s heatwave. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 17°C outcome reflects this high-confidence guidance from authoritative sources, with minimal spread in observations and projections. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted rapid clearance of cloud cover or warmer air advection, though current data and model consensus make substantial deviation before resolution highly unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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