Official Met Office observations from key London stations, including Heathrow and London City Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—confirm a maximum temperature of 24°C on May 1, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light winds, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with pre-event forecast model consensus from the UK Met Office, projecting highs near 24°C amid a high-pressure ridge and southerly airflow, warmer than the typical May average of 16–18°C but within climatological norms. Scenarios that could challenge resolution include rare post-finalization data revisions for sensor anomalies or a overlooked higher reading from a qualifying station, though quality-controlled observations reduce this risk as data stabilizes within 24–48 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in London on May 1?
Highest temperature in London on May 1?
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$297,652 交易量
$297,652 交易量
2026-05-01
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$297,652 交易量
$297,652 交易量
2026-05-01
17°C or below
$23,027 交易量
No
18°C
$5,434 交易量
No
19°C
$8,551 交易量
No
20°C
$10,943 交易量
No
21°C
$17,979 交易量
No
22°C
$22,967 交易量
No
23°C
$24,167 交易量
No
24°C
$65,211 交易量
Yes
25°C
$43,486 交易量
No
26°C
$41,246 交易量
No
27°C or higher
$34,641 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Met Office observations from key London stations, including Heathrow and London City Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—confirm a maximum temperature of 24°C on May 1, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light winds, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with pre-event forecast model consensus from the UK Met Office, projecting highs near 24°C amid a high-pressure ridge and southerly airflow, warmer than the typical May average of 16–18°C but within climatological norms. Scenarios that could challenge resolution include rare post-finalization data revisions for sensor anomalies or a overlooked higher reading from a qualifying station, though quality-controlled observations reduce this risk as data stabilizes within 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$297,652结束日期
2026-05-01市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Met Office observations from key London stations, including Heathrow and London City Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—confirm a maximum temperature of 24°C on May 1, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light winds, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with pre-event forecast model consensus from the UK Met Office, projecting highs near 24°C amid a high-pressure ridge and southerly airflow, warmer than the typical May average of 16–18°C but within climatological norms. Scenarios that could challenge resolution include rare post-finalization data revisions for sensor anomalies or a overlooked higher reading from a qualifying station, though quality-controlled observations reduce this risk as data stabilizes within 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$297,652结束日期
2026-05-01市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official Met Office observations from key London stations, including Heathrow and London City Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—confirm a maximum temperature of 24°C on May 1, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light winds, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with pre-event forecast model consensus from the UK Met Office, projecting highs near 24°C amid a high-pressure ridge and southerly airflow, warmer than the typical May average of 16–18°C but within climatological norms. Scenarios that could challenge resolution include rare post-finalization data revisions for sensor anomalies or a overlooked higher reading from a qualifying station, though quality-controlled observations reduce this risk as data stabilizes within 24–48 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题