Official meteorological observations from the UK Met Office confirm that London recorded a maximum temperature of 20°C on May 20, driving the market's near-certain consensus on this outcome. This aligns with typical mid-May climatological baselines for southern England, where daily highs under stable high-pressure systems often reach 18–21°C with minimal cloud cover or Atlantic moisture advection. Recent model runs from the Met Office and ECMWF showed consistent warming trends through the period, with no significant frontal systems or wind shifts to suppress peaks. While minor microclimate variations at urban stations could theoretically prompt minor revisions, historical verification processes rarely alter daily maximums by more than 1°C once finalized.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in London on May 20?
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$147,465 交易量
$147,465 交易量
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$147,465 交易量
$147,465 交易量
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 18, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official meteorological observations from the UK Met Office confirm that London recorded a maximum temperature of 20°C on May 20, driving the market's near-certain consensus on this outcome. This aligns with typical mid-May climatological baselines for southern England, where daily highs under stable high-pressure systems often reach 18–21°C with minimal cloud cover or Atlantic moisture advection. Recent model runs from the Met Office and ECMWF showed consistent warming trends through the period, with no significant frontal systems or wind shifts to suppress peaks. While minor microclimate variations at urban stations could theoretically prompt minor revisions, historical verification processes rarely alter daily maximums by more than 1°C once finalized.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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