Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 28°C (43.5% implied probability) as Madrid's highest temperature on April 18 at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport, closely tracking the latest AEMET forecast of 28–29°C under a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies for peak afternoon heating. Recent observations show a warming trend from mid-teens Celsius on April 16–17 to projected upper-20s, well above the April climatological average of 19°C amid an unusually warm month influenced by persistent anticyclonic conditions over Iberia. Model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS align on this outlook, though minor uncertainties from potential afternoon cloud buildup or light NE winds could cap peaks at 27°C or nudge toward 29°C; final hourly AEMET updates expected later today may refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Madrid on April 18?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 18?
28°C 44%
27°C 27%
29°C 20%
26°C 8.1%
最新
$14,590 交易量
最新
$14,590 交易量
2026-04-18
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
8%
27°C
27%
28°C
44%
29°C
20%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 44%
27°C 27%
29°C 20%
26°C 8.1%
最新
$14,590 交易量
最新
$14,590 交易量
2026-04-18
22°C or below
$1,690 交易量
<1%
23°C
$3,067 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,132 交易量
1%
25°C
$1,625 交易量
2%
26°C
$1,153 交易量
8%
27°C
$683 交易量
27%
28°C
$1,003 交易量
44%
29°C
$575 交易量
20%
30°C
$1,279 交易量
3%
31°C
$946 交易量
1%
32°C or higher
$1,436 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 28°C (43.5% implied probability) as Madrid's highest temperature on April 18 at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport, closely tracking the latest AEMET forecast of 28–29°C under a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies for peak afternoon heating. Recent observations show a warming trend from mid-teens Celsius on April 16–17 to projected upper-20s, well above the April climatological average of 19°C amid an unusually warm month influenced by persistent anticyclonic conditions over Iberia. Model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS align on this outlook, though minor uncertainties from potential afternoon cloud buildup or light NE winds could cap peaks at 27°C or nudge toward 29°C; final hourly AEMET updates expected later today may refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
交易量
$14,590结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 28°C (43.5% implied probability) as Madrid's highest temperature on April 18 at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport, closely tracking the latest AEMET forecast of 28–29°C under a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies for peak afternoon heating. Recent observations show a warming trend from mid-teens Celsius on April 16–17 to projected upper-20s, well above the April climatological average of 19°C amid an unusually warm month influenced by persistent anticyclonic conditions over Iberia. Model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS align on this outlook, though minor uncertainties from potential afternoon cloud buildup or light NE winds could cap peaks at 27°C or nudge toward 29°C; final hourly AEMET updates expected later today may refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$14,590结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 28°C (43.5% implied probability) as Madrid's highest temperature on April 18 at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport, closely tracking the latest AEMET forecast of 28–29°C under a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies for peak afternoon heating. Recent observations show a warming trend from mid-teens Celsius on April 16–17 to projected upper-20s, well above the April climatological average of 19°C amid an unusually warm month influenced by persistent anticyclonic conditions over Iberia. Model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS align on this outlook, though minor uncertainties from potential afternoon cloud buildup or light NE winds could cap peaks at 27°C or nudge toward 29°C; final hourly AEMET updates expected later today may refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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