Trader sentiment for Madrid's highest temperature on March 24 clusters tightly around 17-22°C, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts implying mean highs of 17-19°C under a mild westerly flow from the Atlantic, with slight model spread reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover and diurnal heating. AEMET's official outlook aligns closely, projecting 16-20°C based on current geopotential height patterns and sea surface temperature anomalies favoring moderated warmth over historical late-March averages of 16-18°C. Leading 17°C odds (24.5%) edge out 19-20°C due to cooler bias in high-resolution ICON runs, while 23°C+ tails off amid low risk of subsidence warming; traders eye tomorrow's 12Z model updates for resolution shifts as insolation thresholds differentiate outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Madrid on March 24?
Highest temperature in Madrid on March 24?
17°C 25%
19°C 19%
20°C 19%
18°C 18%
13°C or below
8%
14°C
9%
15°C
16%
16°C
17%
17°C
25%
18°C
18%
19°C
19%
20°C
19%
21°C
17%
22°C
17%
23°C or higher
17%
17°C 25%
19°C 19%
20°C 19%
18°C 18%
13°C or below
8%
14°C
9%
15°C
16%
16°C
17%
17°C
25%
18°C
18%
19°C
19%
20°C
19%
21°C
17%
22°C
17%
23°C or higher
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 20, 2026, 6:23 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Madrid's highest temperature on March 24 clusters tightly around 17-22°C, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts implying mean highs of 17-19°C under a mild westerly flow from the Atlantic, with slight model spread reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover and diurnal heating. AEMET's official outlook aligns closely, projecting 16-20°C based on current geopotential height patterns and sea surface temperature anomalies favoring moderated warmth over historical late-March averages of 16-18°C. Leading 17°C odds (24.5%) edge out 19-20°C due to cooler bias in high-resolution ICON runs, while 23°C+ tails off amid low risk of subsidence warming; traders eye tomorrow's 12Z model updates for resolution shifts as insolation thresholds differentiate outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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