PAGASA observations at the Science Garden station in Quezon City—the official reference for Manila—recorded a peak air temperature of 34°C around midday on April 21, 2026, aligning precisely with pre-dawn forecasts under easterlies bringing partly cloudy skies and isolated rainshowers that capped solar heating. This trader consensus reflects the dry season's typical April highs averaging 33–35°C, moderated by moderate ESE winds and humidity around 60%, with urban heat island effects offset by cloud cover. Model runs from PAGASA consistently projected no exceedance of 34°C, locking in near-certainty. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing and subsidence for late-afternoon intensification to 35°C before sunset, though current data and declining solar angle make this improbable. Final daily summary expected from PAGASA this evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Manila on April 21?
Highest temperature in Manila on April 21?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$45,971 交易量
$45,971 交易量
2026-04-21
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$45,971 交易量
$45,971 交易量
2026-04-21
28°C or below
$1,096 交易量
No
29°C
$1,846 交易量
No
30°C
$1,765 交易量
No
31°C
$2,268 交易量
No
32°C
$3,594 交易量
No
33°C
$4,365 交易量
No
34°C
$11,396 交易量
Yes
35°C
$7,375 交易量
No
36°C
$8,156 交易量
No
37°C
$2,225 交易量
No
38°C or higher
$1,884 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA observations at the Science Garden station in Quezon City—the official reference for Manila—recorded a peak air temperature of 34°C around midday on April 21, 2026, aligning precisely with pre-dawn forecasts under easterlies bringing partly cloudy skies and isolated rainshowers that capped solar heating. This trader consensus reflects the dry season's typical April highs averaging 33–35°C, moderated by moderate ESE winds and humidity around 60%, with urban heat island effects offset by cloud cover. Model runs from PAGASA consistently projected no exceedance of 34°C, locking in near-certainty. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing and subsidence for late-afternoon intensification to 35°C before sunset, though current data and declining solar angle make this improbable. Final daily summary expected from PAGASA this evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 19, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
交易量
$45,971结束日期
2026-04-21市场开放时间
Apr 19, 2026, 12:13 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA observations at the Science Garden station in Quezon City—the official reference for Manila—recorded a peak air temperature of 34°C around midday on April 21, 2026, aligning precisely with pre-dawn forecasts under easterlies bringing partly cloudy skies and isolated rainshowers that capped solar heating. This trader consensus reflects the dry season's typical April highs averaging 33–35°C, moderated by moderate ESE winds and humidity around 60%, with urban heat island effects offset by cloud cover. Model runs from PAGASA consistently projected no exceedance of 34°C, locking in near-certainty. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing and subsidence for late-afternoon intensification to 35°C before sunset, though current data and declining solar angle make this improbable. Final daily summary expected from PAGASA this evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$45,971结束日期
2026-04-21市场开放时间
Apr 19, 2026, 12:13 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
PAGASA observations at the Science Garden station in Quezon City—the official reference for Manila—recorded a peak air temperature of 34°C around midday on April 21, 2026, aligning precisely with pre-dawn forecasts under easterlies bringing partly cloudy skies and isolated rainshowers that capped solar heating. This trader consensus reflects the dry season's typical April highs averaging 33–35°C, moderated by moderate ESE winds and humidity around 60%, with urban heat island effects offset by cloud cover. Model runs from PAGASA consistently projected no exceedance of 34°C, locking in near-certainty. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing and subsidence for late-afternoon intensification to 35°C before sunset, though current data and declining solar angle make this improbable. Final daily summary expected from PAGASA this evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题