PAGASA's latest regional forecast for Metro Manila, issued at 9:00 AM on April 25, 2026, projects a daytime high of 35°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers and easterly winds, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on 36°C as traders factor in urban heat island effects at the PAGASA Quezon City observatory and current readings already reaching 34°C. This positioning reflects dry-season climatology, where April highs typically range 33–36°C amid high solar insolation and low humidity, corroborated by consistent model outputs showing peak heating between 2–5 PM. Realistic challenges include brief afternoon showers (10–20% probability) capping temperatures below 36°C or extended clear conditions driving an unlikely surge to 37°C+, with final resolution hinging on official end-of-day observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Manila on April 25?
Highest temperature in Manila on April 25?
36°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$39,125 交易量
$39,125 交易量
2026-04-25
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$39,125 交易量
$39,125 交易量
2026-04-25
30°C or below
$2,267 交易量
No
31°C
$2,686 交易量
No
32°C
$2,407 交易量
No
33°C
$8,283 交易量
No
34°C
$4,333 交易量
No
35°C
$1,639 交易量
No
36°C
$5,119 交易量
Yes
37°C
$3,525 交易量
No
38°C
$2,799 交易量
No
39°C
$2,814 交易量
No
40°C or higher
$3,254 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest regional forecast for Metro Manila, issued at 9:00 AM on April 25, 2026, projects a daytime high of 35°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers and easterly winds, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on 36°C as traders factor in urban heat island effects at the PAGASA Quezon City observatory and current readings already reaching 34°C. This positioning reflects dry-season climatology, where April highs typically range 33–36°C amid high solar insolation and low humidity, corroborated by consistent model outputs showing peak heating between 2–5 PM. Realistic challenges include brief afternoon showers (10–20% probability) capping temperatures below 36°C or extended clear conditions driving an unlikely surge to 37°C+, with final resolution hinging on official end-of-day observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 23, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
交易量
$39,125结束日期
2026-04-25市场开放时间
Apr 23, 2026, 12:27 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest regional forecast for Metro Manila, issued at 9:00 AM on April 25, 2026, projects a daytime high of 35°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers and easterly winds, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on 36°C as traders factor in urban heat island effects at the PAGASA Quezon City observatory and current readings already reaching 34°C. This positioning reflects dry-season climatology, where April highs typically range 33–36°C amid high solar insolation and low humidity, corroborated by consistent model outputs showing peak heating between 2–5 PM. Realistic challenges include brief afternoon showers (10–20% probability) capping temperatures below 36°C or extended clear conditions driving an unlikely surge to 37°C+, with final resolution hinging on official end-of-day observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$39,125结束日期
2026-04-25市场开放时间
Apr 23, 2026, 12:27 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
PAGASA's latest regional forecast for Metro Manila, issued at 9:00 AM on April 25, 2026, projects a daytime high of 35°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers and easterly winds, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on 36°C as traders factor in urban heat island effects at the PAGASA Quezon City observatory and current readings already reaching 34°C. This positioning reflects dry-season climatology, where April highs typically range 33–36°C amid high solar insolation and low humidity, corroborated by consistent model outputs showing peak heating between 2–5 PM. Realistic challenges include brief afternoon showers (10–20% probability) capping temperatures below 36°C or extended clear conditions driving an unlikely surge to 37°C+, with final resolution hinging on official end-of-day observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题