Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to 36°C as Manila's highest temperature on April 26, 2026, driven by official observations at Ninoy Aquino International Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—peaking at 36°C during afternoon hours, corroborated by PAGASA's Science Garden station recording 35.7°C at 3:00 PM amid easterly winds fostering partly cloudy skies and isolated showers. PAGASA's pre-day forecasts accurately predicted Metro Manila highs of 35–36°C under these conditions, consistent with April's climatological norms during the dry-hot season when highs often reach 33–37°C. With peak solar heating past and temperatures declining into evening, realistic challenges like a brief clearing and late surge are improbable given current downward trends and model consensus; final data finalization will confirm.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Manila on April 26?
Highest temperature in Manila on April 26?
36°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$29,580 交易量
$29,580 交易量
2026-04-26
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$29,580 交易量
$29,580 交易量
2026-04-26
30°C or below
$1,755 交易量
No
31°C
$986 交易量
No
32°C
$1,333 交易量
No
33°C
$2,931 交易量
No
34°C
$7,149 交易量
No
35°C
$1,364 交易量
No
36°C
$4,757 交易量
Yes
37°C
$1,448 交易量
No
38°C
$2,321 交易量
No
39°C
$2,758 交易量
No
40°C or higher
$2,779 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to 36°C as Manila's highest temperature on April 26, 2026, driven by official observations at Ninoy Aquino International Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—peaking at 36°C during afternoon hours, corroborated by PAGASA's Science Garden station recording 35.7°C at 3:00 PM amid easterly winds fostering partly cloudy skies and isolated showers. PAGASA's pre-day forecasts accurately predicted Metro Manila highs of 35–36°C under these conditions, consistent with April's climatological norms during the dry-hot season when highs often reach 33–37°C. With peak solar heating past and temperatures declining into evening, realistic challenges like a brief clearing and late surge are improbable given current downward trends and model consensus; final data finalization will confirm.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$29,580结束日期
2026-04-26市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to 36°C as Manila's highest temperature on April 26, 2026, driven by official observations at Ninoy Aquino International Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—peaking at 36°C during afternoon hours, corroborated by PAGASA's Science Garden station recording 35.7°C at 3:00 PM amid easterly winds fostering partly cloudy skies and isolated showers. PAGASA's pre-day forecasts accurately predicted Metro Manila highs of 35–36°C under these conditions, consistent with April's climatological norms during the dry-hot season when highs often reach 33–37°C. With peak solar heating past and temperatures declining into evening, realistic challenges like a brief clearing and late surge are improbable given current downward trends and model consensus; final data finalization will confirm.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$29,580结束日期
2026-04-26市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to 36°C as Manila's highest temperature on April 26, 2026, driven by official observations at Ninoy Aquino International Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—peaking at 36°C during afternoon hours, corroborated by PAGASA's Science Garden station recording 35.7°C at 3:00 PM amid easterly winds fostering partly cloudy skies and isolated showers. PAGASA's pre-day forecasts accurately predicted Metro Manila highs of 35–36°C under these conditions, consistent with April's climatological norms during the dry-hot season when highs often reach 33–37°C. With peak solar heating past and temperatures declining into evening, realistic challenges like a brief clearing and late surge are improbable given current downward trends and model consensus; final data finalization will confirm.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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