Strong consensus around 33°C as Manila's high on June 11 stems from PAGASA's official forecast of 25–33°C under partly cloudy skies amid the southwest monsoon's early influence, with consistent numerical model support showing minimal deviation. This aligns with climatological June norms near 32°C daytime maxima and current conditions featuring moderate humidity and a 40% rain probability that limits extreme heating. Traders assign near-certainty because real-time observations and short-range guidance have stabilized around this value. A realistic shift could occur only from unexpected localized convection, station-specific measurement timing, or last-minute model adjustments exceeding 1°C, though such changes appear unlikely given the day's advanced stage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Manila on June 11?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 11?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$29,241 交易量
$29,241 交易量
2026-06-11
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$29,241 交易量
$29,241 交易量
2026-06-11
28°C or below
$372 交易量
No
29°C
$537 交易量
No
30°C
$1,045 交易量
No
31°C
$4,158 交易量
No
32°C
$3,496 交易量
No
33°C
$6,588 交易量
Yes
34°C
$4,105 交易量
No
35°C
$3,436 交易量
No
36°C
$3,785 交易量
No
37°C
$1,201 交易量
No
38°C or higher
$517 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong consensus around 33°C as Manila's high on June 11 stems from PAGASA's official forecast of 25–33°C under partly cloudy skies amid the southwest monsoon's early influence, with consistent numerical model support showing minimal deviation. This aligns with climatological June norms near 32°C daytime maxima and current conditions featuring moderate humidity and a 40% rain probability that limits extreme heating. Traders assign near-certainty because real-time observations and short-range guidance have stabilized around this value. A realistic shift could occur only from unexpected localized convection, station-specific measurement timing, or last-minute model adjustments exceeding 1°C, though such changes appear unlikely given the day's advanced stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$29,241结束日期
2026-06-11市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong consensus around 33°C as Manila's high on June 11 stems from PAGASA's official forecast of 25–33°C under partly cloudy skies amid the southwest monsoon's early influence, with consistent numerical model support showing minimal deviation. This aligns with climatological June norms near 32°C daytime maxima and current conditions featuring moderate humidity and a 40% rain probability that limits extreme heating. Traders assign near-certainty because real-time observations and short-range guidance have stabilized around this value. A realistic shift could occur only from unexpected localized convection, station-specific measurement timing, or last-minute model adjustments exceeding 1°C, though such changes appear unlikely given the day's advanced stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$29,241结束日期
2026-06-11市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Strong consensus around 33°C as Manila's high on June 11 stems from PAGASA's official forecast of 25–33°C under partly cloudy skies amid the southwest monsoon's early influence, with consistent numerical model support showing minimal deviation. This aligns with climatological June norms near 32°C daytime maxima and current conditions featuring moderate humidity and a 40% rain probability that limits extreme heating. Traders assign near-certainty because real-time observations and short-range guidance have stabilized around this value. A realistic shift could occur only from unexpected localized convection, station-specific measurement timing, or last-minute model adjustments exceeding 1°C, though such changes appear unlikely given the day's advanced stage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题