Traders have overwhelmingly converged on 30°C as Manila’s highest temperature for June 6, reflecting PAGASA’s official forecasts of highs near 29–32°C under the southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity typical of early June suppress peak heating, keeping values aligned with the 30°C mark observed in recent model runs and station data. This positioning draws on climatological baselines of 31–32°C averages tempered by current atmospheric conditions that limit solar insolation. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing of monsoon clouds or an unforecasted ridge of high pressure boosting insolation enough to push readings to 33°C or above before evening observations close the market window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Manila on June 6?
30°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$52,842 交易量
$52,842 交易量
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$52,842 交易量
$52,842 交易量
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 5, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Traders have overwhelmingly converged on 30°C as Manila’s highest temperature for June 6, reflecting PAGASA’s official forecasts of highs near 29–32°C under the southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity typical of early June suppress peak heating, keeping values aligned with the 30°C mark observed in recent model runs and station data. This positioning draws on climatological baselines of 31–32°C averages tempered by current atmospheric conditions that limit solar insolation. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing of monsoon clouds or an unforecasted ridge of high pressure boosting insolation enough to push readings to 33°C or above before evening observations close the market window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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