Trader consensus on Polymarket has reached 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 84-85°F in Miami on April 28, driven by official National Weather Service ASOS observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), the market's resolution source, confirming the peak fell squarely in this bin amid ample daytime heating under a dominant high-pressure ridge. Sunny skies, light east winds of 6-10 mph, and sea-breeze moderation aligned precisely with pre-event National Weather Service point forecasts near 85°F and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF projecting mid-80s peaks—consistent with late-April climatological norms averaging 85°F at KMIA. Realistic challenges to this positioning are negligible post-validation, though rare instrument recalibrations or quality-control revisions could theoretically prompt oracle review, a scenario with near-zero precedent for settled daily maxima.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Miami on April 28?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 28?
84-85°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$83,076 交易量
$83,076 交易量
2026-04-28
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
Yes
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
84-85°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$83,076 交易量
$83,076 交易量
2026-04-28
73°F or below
$1,688 交易量
No
74-75°F
$2,002 交易量
No
76-77°F
$2,272 交易量
No
78-79°F
$3,811 交易量
No
80-81°F
$8,802 交易量
No
82-83°F
$12,321 交易量
No
84-85°F
$14,263 交易量
Yes
86-87°F
$21,372 交易量
No
88-89°F
$5,870 交易量
No
90-91°F
$5,062 交易量
No
92°F or higher
$5,613 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has reached 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 84-85°F in Miami on April 28, driven by official National Weather Service ASOS observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), the market's resolution source, confirming the peak fell squarely in this bin amid ample daytime heating under a dominant high-pressure ridge. Sunny skies, light east winds of 6-10 mph, and sea-breeze moderation aligned precisely with pre-event National Weather Service point forecasts near 85°F and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF projecting mid-80s peaks—consistent with late-April climatological norms averaging 85°F at KMIA. Realistic challenges to this positioning are negligible post-validation, though rare instrument recalibrations or quality-control revisions could theoretically prompt oracle review, a scenario with near-zero precedent for settled daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 26, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$83,076结束日期
2026-04-28市场开放时间
Apr 26, 2026, 12:32 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has reached 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 84-85°F in Miami on April 28, driven by official National Weather Service ASOS observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), the market's resolution source, confirming the peak fell squarely in this bin amid ample daytime heating under a dominant high-pressure ridge. Sunny skies, light east winds of 6-10 mph, and sea-breeze moderation aligned precisely with pre-event National Weather Service point forecasts near 85°F and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF projecting mid-80s peaks—consistent with late-April climatological norms averaging 85°F at KMIA. Realistic challenges to this positioning are negligible post-validation, though rare instrument recalibrations or quality-control revisions could theoretically prompt oracle review, a scenario with near-zero precedent for settled daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$83,076结束日期
2026-04-28市场开放时间
Apr 26, 2026, 12:32 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has reached 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 84-85°F in Miami on April 28, driven by official National Weather Service ASOS observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), the market's resolution source, confirming the peak fell squarely in this bin amid ample daytime heating under a dominant high-pressure ridge. Sunny skies, light east winds of 6-10 mph, and sea-breeze moderation aligned precisely with pre-event National Weather Service point forecasts near 85°F and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF projecting mid-80s peaks—consistent with late-April climatological norms averaging 85°F at KMIA. Realistic challenges to this positioning are negligible post-validation, though rare instrument recalibrations or quality-control revisions could theoretically prompt oracle review, a scenario with near-zero precedent for settled daily maxima.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题