Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 25°C at Milan Malpensa International Airport station, driven by real-time hourly observations from the station peaking at around 25.5°C amid persistent clear skies and light winds that maximized solar heating. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble model runs from the past 24 hours showed tight agreement on daytime highs near 25-26°C under a potent Azores-African anticyclone ridge, well above April climatological norms of 18-20°C. With evening cooling underway and no further intensification expected, official daily summaries from ARPA Lombardia or aviation METAR data are unlikely to revise higher, though a rare station microclimate anomaly could challenge this near-certainty before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Milan on April 26?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 26?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$68,609 交易量
$68,609 交易量
2026-04-26
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$68,609 交易量
$68,609 交易量
2026-04-26
19°C or below
$909 交易量
No
20°C
$1,033 交易量
No
21°C
$2,858 交易量
No
22°C
$2,870 交易量
No
23°C
$4,636 交易量
No
24°C
$8,469 交易量
No
25°C
$18,654 交易量
Yes
26°C
$10,267 交易量
No
27°C
$8,444 交易量
No
28°C
$4,801 交易量
No
29°C or higher
$5,668 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 25°C at Milan Malpensa International Airport station, driven by real-time hourly observations from the station peaking at around 25.5°C amid persistent clear skies and light winds that maximized solar heating. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble model runs from the past 24 hours showed tight agreement on daytime highs near 25-26°C under a potent Azores-African anticyclone ridge, well above April climatological norms of 18-20°C. With evening cooling underway and no further intensification expected, official daily summaries from ARPA Lombardia or aviation METAR data are unlikely to revise higher, though a rare station microclimate anomaly could challenge this near-certainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$68,609结束日期
2026-04-26市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 25°C at Milan Malpensa International Airport station, driven by real-time hourly observations from the station peaking at around 25.5°C amid persistent clear skies and light winds that maximized solar heating. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble model runs from the past 24 hours showed tight agreement on daytime highs near 25-26°C under a potent Azores-African anticyclone ridge, well above April climatological norms of 18-20°C. With evening cooling underway and no further intensification expected, official daily summaries from ARPA Lombardia or aviation METAR data are unlikely to revise higher, though a rare station microclimate anomaly could challenge this near-certainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$68,609结束日期
2026-04-26市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 25°C at Milan Malpensa International Airport station, driven by real-time hourly observations from the station peaking at around 25.5°C amid persistent clear skies and light winds that maximized solar heating. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble model runs from the past 24 hours showed tight agreement on daytime highs near 25-26°C under a potent Azores-African anticyclone ridge, well above April climatological norms of 18-20°C. With evening cooling underway and no further intensification expected, official daily summaries from ARPA Lombardia or aviation METAR data are unlikely to revise higher, though a rare station microclimate anomaly could challenge this near-certainty before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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