Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 9°C at 33% implied probability for Moscow on April 18, closely trailed by 10°C (25%) and 8°C (22%), reflecting uncertainty in the timing of an incoming cold front per Rosgidromet guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts. Recent observations show April 15 highs near 12°C amid thunderstorms—above seasonal norms of 11–12°C—but a northward jet stream shift is ushering cooler air, light rain, and sleet, capping diurnal heating around 8–10°C. Model divergences on frontal passage and cloud cover differentiate outcomes, with faster clearing potentially pushing toward 10°C and prolonged overcast favoring 8°C; final hourly updates from Russian Hydrometcenter expected today will sharpen resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Moscow on April 18?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 18?
9°C 34%
10°C 25%
8°C 22%
7°C 12%
最新
$13,221 交易量
最新
$13,221 交易量
2026-04-18
6°C or below
2%
7°C
12%
8°C
22%
9°C
34%
10°C
25%
11°C
10%
12°C
2%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
9°C 34%
10°C 25%
8°C 22%
7°C 12%
最新
$13,221 交易量
最新
$13,221 交易量
2026-04-18
6°C or below
$1,025 交易量
2%
7°C
$883 交易量
12%
8°C
$309 交易量
22%
9°C
$567 交易量
34%
10°C
$586 交易量
25%
11°C
$1,365 交易量
10%
12°C
$2,458 交易量
2%
13°C
$2,355 交易量
1%
14°C
$1,498 交易量
1%
15°C
$1,160 交易量
<1%
16°C or higher
$1,019 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 9°C at 33% implied probability for Moscow on April 18, closely trailed by 10°C (25%) and 8°C (22%), reflecting uncertainty in the timing of an incoming cold front per Rosgidromet guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts. Recent observations show April 15 highs near 12°C amid thunderstorms—above seasonal norms of 11–12°C—but a northward jet stream shift is ushering cooler air, light rain, and sleet, capping diurnal heating around 8–10°C. Model divergences on frontal passage and cloud cover differentiate outcomes, with faster clearing potentially pushing toward 10°C and prolonged overcast favoring 8°C; final hourly updates from Russian Hydrometcenter expected today will sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 1:48 AM ET
交易量
$13,221结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 1:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 9°C at 33% implied probability for Moscow on April 18, closely trailed by 10°C (25%) and 8°C (22%), reflecting uncertainty in the timing of an incoming cold front per Rosgidromet guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts. Recent observations show April 15 highs near 12°C amid thunderstorms—above seasonal norms of 11–12°C—but a northward jet stream shift is ushering cooler air, light rain, and sleet, capping diurnal heating around 8–10°C. Model divergences on frontal passage and cloud cover differentiate outcomes, with faster clearing potentially pushing toward 10°C and prolonged overcast favoring 8°C; final hourly updates from Russian Hydrometcenter expected today will sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$13,221结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 1:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 9°C at 33% implied probability for Moscow on April 18, closely trailed by 10°C (25%) and 8°C (22%), reflecting uncertainty in the timing of an incoming cold front per Rosgidromet guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts. Recent observations show April 15 highs near 12°C amid thunderstorms—above seasonal norms of 11–12°C—but a northward jet stream shift is ushering cooler air, light rain, and sleet, capping diurnal heating around 8–10°C. Model divergences on frontal passage and cloud cover differentiate outcomes, with faster clearing potentially pushing toward 10°C and prolonged overcast favoring 8°C; final hourly updates from Russian Hydrometcenter expected today will sharpen resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题