Recent official forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and local monitoring indicate Moscow will reach a daily maximum of 22–23 °C on June 15, aligning with the market’s near-certain 22 °C outcome. Mid-June climatology for the region shows average highs near 20–22 °C under typical high-pressure patterns, and current model consensus supports stable, partly cloudy conditions without significant advection of warmer air. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects both the narrow forecast range and the precise resolution criteria tied to official station readings. A late-day surge from an unmodeled warm front or measurement variability at the primary observatory could still shift the exact high, though such deviations appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Moscow on June 15?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 15?
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$47,149 交易量
$47,149 交易量
2026-06-15
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$47,149 交易量
$47,149 交易量
2026-06-15
16°C or below
$399 交易量
No
17°C
$3,356 交易量
No
18°C
$3,848 交易量
No
19°C
$2,416 交易量
No
20°C
$3,084 交易量
No
21°C
$3,226 交易量
No
22°C
$8,836 交易量
Yes
23°C
$7,012 交易量
No
24°C
$4,252 交易量
No
25°C
$4,422 交易量
No
26°C or higher
$6,298 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and local monitoring indicate Moscow will reach a daily maximum of 22–23 °C on June 15, aligning with the market’s near-certain 22 °C outcome. Mid-June climatology for the region shows average highs near 20–22 °C under typical high-pressure patterns, and current model consensus supports stable, partly cloudy conditions without significant advection of warmer air. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects both the narrow forecast range and the precise resolution criteria tied to official station readings. A late-day surge from an unmodeled warm front or measurement variability at the primary observatory could still shift the exact high, though such deviations appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
交易量
$47,149结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and local monitoring indicate Moscow will reach a daily maximum of 22–23 °C on June 15, aligning with the market’s near-certain 22 °C outcome. Mid-June climatology for the region shows average highs near 20–22 °C under typical high-pressure patterns, and current model consensus supports stable, partly cloudy conditions without significant advection of warmer air. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects both the narrow forecast range and the precise resolution criteria tied to official station readings. A late-day surge from an unmodeled warm front or measurement variability at the primary observatory could still shift the exact high, though such deviations appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$47,149结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Recent official forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and local monitoring indicate Moscow will reach a daily maximum of 22–23 °C on June 15, aligning with the market’s near-certain 22 °C outcome. Mid-June climatology for the region shows average highs near 20–22 °C under typical high-pressure patterns, and current model consensus supports stable, partly cloudy conditions without significant advection of warmer air. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects both the narrow forecast range and the precise resolution criteria tied to official station readings. A late-day surge from an unmodeled warm front or measurement variability at the primary observatory could still shift the exact high, though such deviations appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题