Official NOAA observations at Vnukovo International Airport, the market's authoritative resolution source, confirm Moscow's highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 8°C amid persistent cloud cover, light showers, and northwest winds of 5-10 mph that limited daytime heating. Hourly METAR reports throughout the day showed air temperatures hovering between 4-8°C, with no readings exceeding this maximum, aligning with a recent cool air mass over western Russia cooler than the typical early May average of 15-18°C. Trader consensus reflects this verified data with 100% implied probability on 8°C, backed by real capital. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc sensor recalibrations or data discrepancies from Russian meteorological services, though NOAA aviation records rarely revise after initial release. Final daily summaries from Roshydromet are pending but expected to corroborate.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Moscow on May 1?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 1?
8°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$69,606 交易量
$69,606 交易量
2026-05-01
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
Yes
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C or higher
No
8°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$69,606 交易量
$69,606 交易量
2026-05-01
4°C or below
$2,767 交易量
No
5°C
$2,153 交易量
No
6°C
$3,438 交易量
No
7°C
$14,212 交易量
No
8°C
$7,985 交易量
Yes
9°C
$7,747 交易量
No
10°C
$4,221 交易量
No
11°C
$4,826 交易量
No
12°C
$12,010 交易量
No
13°C
$5,316 交易量
No
14°C or higher
$4,931 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA observations at Vnukovo International Airport, the market's authoritative resolution source, confirm Moscow's highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 8°C amid persistent cloud cover, light showers, and northwest winds of 5-10 mph that limited daytime heating. Hourly METAR reports throughout the day showed air temperatures hovering between 4-8°C, with no readings exceeding this maximum, aligning with a recent cool air mass over western Russia cooler than the typical early May average of 15-18°C. Trader consensus reflects this verified data with 100% implied probability on 8°C, backed by real capital. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc sensor recalibrations or data discrepancies from Russian meteorological services, though NOAA aviation records rarely revise after initial release. Final daily summaries from Roshydromet are pending but expected to corroborate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 29, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$69,606结束日期
2026-05-01市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA observations at Vnukovo International Airport, the market's authoritative resolution source, confirm Moscow's highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 8°C amid persistent cloud cover, light showers, and northwest winds of 5-10 mph that limited daytime heating. Hourly METAR reports throughout the day showed air temperatures hovering between 4-8°C, with no readings exceeding this maximum, aligning with a recent cool air mass over western Russia cooler than the typical early May average of 15-18°C. Trader consensus reflects this verified data with 100% implied probability on 8°C, backed by real capital. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc sensor recalibrations or data discrepancies from Russian meteorological services, though NOAA aviation records rarely revise after initial release. Final daily summaries from Roshydromet are pending but expected to corroborate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$69,606结束日期
2026-05-01市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official NOAA observations at Vnukovo International Airport, the market's authoritative resolution source, confirm Moscow's highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 8°C amid persistent cloud cover, light showers, and northwest winds of 5-10 mph that limited daytime heating. Hourly METAR reports throughout the day showed air temperatures hovering between 4-8°C, with no readings exceeding this maximum, aligning with a recent cool air mass over western Russia cooler than the typical early May average of 15-18°C. Trader consensus reflects this verified data with 100% implied probability on 8°C, backed by real capital. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc sensor recalibrations or data discrepancies from Russian meteorological services, though NOAA aviation records rarely revise after initial release. Final daily summaries from Roshydromet are pending but expected to corroborate.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题