Stable high-pressure systems and minimal cloud cover over central Russia have set up Moscow for a daytime maximum near 30°C today, driving the market’s near-certain consensus on this outcome. Official forecasts emphasize moderate surface warming from strong solar insolation under anticyclonic conditions, typical for late May when regional temperatures align closely with climatological averages around 19–22°C. This convergence of short-range model guidance and real-time observations supports the current trader positioning. Brief convective activity or localized urban heat-island amplification could nudge isolated readings slightly higher, yet such factors are unlikely to shift the official high beyond the 30°C threshold based on the latest meteorological updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Moscow on May 21?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 21?
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$49,682 交易量
$49,682 交易量
2026-05-21
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$49,682 交易量
$49,682 交易量
2026-05-21
23°C or below
$3,267 交易量
No
24°C
$705 交易量
No
25°C
$1,435 交易量
No
26°C
$3,612 交易量
No
27°C
$2,644 交易量
No
28°C
$2,978 交易量
No
29°C
$3,294 交易量
No
30°C
$8,366 交易量
Yes
31°C
$5,075 交易量
No
32°C
$3,349 交易量
No
33°C or higher
$14,956 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Stable high-pressure systems and minimal cloud cover over central Russia have set up Moscow for a daytime maximum near 30°C today, driving the market’s near-certain consensus on this outcome. Official forecasts emphasize moderate surface warming from strong solar insolation under anticyclonic conditions, typical for late May when regional temperatures align closely with climatological averages around 19–22°C. This convergence of short-range model guidance and real-time observations supports the current trader positioning. Brief convective activity or localized urban heat-island amplification could nudge isolated readings slightly higher, yet such factors are unlikely to shift the official high beyond the 30°C threshold based on the latest meteorological updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$49,682结束日期
2026-05-21市场开放时间
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Stable high-pressure systems and minimal cloud cover over central Russia have set up Moscow for a daytime maximum near 30°C today, driving the market’s near-certain consensus on this outcome. Official forecasts emphasize moderate surface warming from strong solar insolation under anticyclonic conditions, typical for late May when regional temperatures align closely with climatological averages around 19–22°C. This convergence of short-range model guidance and real-time observations supports the current trader positioning. Brief convective activity or localized urban heat-island amplification could nudge isolated readings slightly higher, yet such factors are unlikely to shift the official high beyond the 30°C threshold based on the latest meteorological updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$49,682结束日期
2026-05-21市场开放时间
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Stable high-pressure systems and minimal cloud cover over central Russia have set up Moscow for a daytime maximum near 30°C today, driving the market’s near-certain consensus on this outcome. Official forecasts emphasize moderate surface warming from strong solar insolation under anticyclonic conditions, typical for late May when regional temperatures align closely with climatological averages around 19–22°C. This convergence of short-range model guidance and real-time observations supports the current trader positioning. Brief convective activity or localized urban heat-island amplification could nudge isolated readings slightly higher, yet such factors are unlikely to shift the official high beyond the 30°C threshold based on the latest meteorological updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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