Ensemble forecasts from major centers place Munich’s July 10 maximum near 29–30 °C, driving the tight 27.5 % / 26.5 % market split between those two outcomes. A strengthening high-pressure ridge over central Europe is promoting subsidence warming and mostly clear skies, while light northeasterly flow limits marine cooling; model spread arises mainly from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact ridge position. Historical early-July maxima cluster around 23–25 °C, so the current setup represents a modest warm anomaly. Updated 12–18 UTC model runs and any late-day satellite trends on July 9 will provide the final resolution inputs before the market settles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月10日慕尼黑气温最高？
7月10日慕尼黑气温最高？
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$88,956 交易量
$88,956 交易量
2026-07-10
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$88,956 交易量
$88,956 交易量
2026-07-10
24°C or below
$372 交易量
No
25°C
$1,963 交易量
No
26°C
$3,565 交易量
No
27°C
$9,940 交易量
No
28°C
$18,295 交易量
No
29°C
$26,183 交易量
Yes
30°C
$14,909 交易量
No
31°C
$9,408 交易量
No
32°C
$1,704 交易量
No
33°C
$1,158 交易量
No
34°C or higher
$1,459 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from major centers place Munich’s July 10 maximum near 29–30 °C, driving the tight 27.5 % / 26.5 % market split between those two outcomes. A strengthening high-pressure ridge over central Europe is promoting subsidence warming and mostly clear skies, while light northeasterly flow limits marine cooling; model spread arises mainly from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact ridge position. Historical early-July maxima cluster around 23–25 °C, so the current setup represents a modest warm anomaly. Updated 12–18 UTC model runs and any late-day satellite trends on July 9 will provide the final resolution inputs before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$88,956结束日期
2026-07-10市场开放时间
Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from major centers place Munich’s July 10 maximum near 29–30 °C, driving the tight 27.5 % / 26.5 % market split between those two outcomes. A strengthening high-pressure ridge over central Europe is promoting subsidence warming and mostly clear skies, while light northeasterly flow limits marine cooling; model spread arises mainly from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact ridge position. Historical early-July maxima cluster around 23–25 °C, so the current setup represents a modest warm anomaly. Updated 12–18 UTC model runs and any late-day satellite trends on July 9 will provide the final resolution inputs before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$88,956结束日期
2026-07-10市场开放时间
Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Ensemble forecasts from major centers place Munich’s July 10 maximum near 29–30 °C, driving the tight 27.5 % / 26.5 % market split between those two outcomes. A strengthening high-pressure ridge over central Europe is promoting subsidence warming and mostly clear skies, while light northeasterly flow limits marine cooling; model spread arises mainly from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact ridge position. Historical early-July maxima cluster around 23–25 °C, so the current setup represents a modest warm anomaly. Updated 12–18 UTC model runs and any late-day satellite trends on July 9 will provide the final resolution inputs before the market settles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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