Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and Munich Airport weather station confirm a maximum temperature of 23°C on May 10, measured via standardized 2-meter thermometers during routine hourly reporting, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as real-time data finalized overnight. Cool northerly airflow and scattered clouds capped daytime heating, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model outputs from prior days that projected highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. Absent rare post hoc revisions from additional stations—such as urban heat island discrepancies or instrument recalibrations—this positioning reflects settled meteorological evidence, rendering 24°C or higher outcomes negligible given the observed peak aligned precisely with market thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Munich on May 10?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 10?
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$73,099 交易量
$73,099 交易量
2026-05-10
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$73,099 交易量
$73,099 交易量
2026-05-10
15°C or below
$4,104 交易量
No
16°C
$3,519 交易量
No
17°C
$4,525 交易量
No
18°C
$5,532 交易量
No
19°C
$6,331 交易量
No
20°C
$5,073 交易量
No
21°C
$4,179 交易量
No
22°C
$9,257 交易量
No
23°C
$14,246 交易量
Yes
24°C
$9,165 交易量
No
25°C or higher
$7,168 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and Munich Airport weather station confirm a maximum temperature of 23°C on May 10, measured via standardized 2-meter thermometers during routine hourly reporting, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as real-time data finalized overnight. Cool northerly airflow and scattered clouds capped daytime heating, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model outputs from prior days that projected highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. Absent rare post hoc revisions from additional stations—such as urban heat island discrepancies or instrument recalibrations—this positioning reflects settled meteorological evidence, rendering 24°C or higher outcomes negligible given the observed peak aligned precisely with market thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$73,099结束日期
2026-05-10市场开放时间
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and Munich Airport weather station confirm a maximum temperature of 23°C on May 10, measured via standardized 2-meter thermometers during routine hourly reporting, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as real-time data finalized overnight. Cool northerly airflow and scattered clouds capped daytime heating, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model outputs from prior days that projected highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. Absent rare post hoc revisions from additional stations—such as urban heat island discrepancies or instrument recalibrations—this positioning reflects settled meteorological evidence, rendering 24°C or higher outcomes negligible given the observed peak aligned precisely with market thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$73,099结束日期
2026-05-10市场开放时间
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and Munich Airport weather station confirm a maximum temperature of 23°C on May 10, measured via standardized 2-meter thermometers during routine hourly reporting, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as real-time data finalized overnight. Cool northerly airflow and scattered clouds capped daytime heating, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model outputs from prior days that projected highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. Absent rare post hoc revisions from additional stations—such as urban heat island discrepancies or instrument recalibrations—this positioning reflects settled meteorological evidence, rendering 24°C or higher outcomes negligible given the observed peak aligned precisely with market thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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