Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 95.5% implied probability to a high of 33°C or higher in Panama City on May 9, driven by the latest forecasts from AccuWeather and aligned meteorological models projecting peaks near 34°C (94°F) under mostly sunny skies at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport station. Recent Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHEPA) updates highlight fewer scattered showers (aguaceros dispersos) than earlier in the week, enabling stronger solar insolation and convective inhibition in the tropical climate, where May averages hover around 31°C. This positioning reflects robust agreement across forecast ensembles, with minimal cloud cover expected. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorm development, which could introduce shading and precipitation to cap temperatures below 33°C before daily maximum observation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月9日巴拿马城气温最高？
5月9日巴拿马城气温最高？
33°C或更高 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$18,713 交易量
$18,713 交易量
2026-05-09
23°C或以下
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C或更高
是
33°C或更高 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$18,713 交易量
$18,713 交易量
2026-05-09
23°C或以下
$641 交易量
否
24°C
$555 交易量
否
25°C
$1,597 交易量
否
26°C
$982 交易量
否
27°C
$1,099 交易量
否
28°C
$892 交易量
否
29°C
$1,292 交易量
否
30°C
$1,442 交易量
否
31°C
$1,798 交易量
否
32°C
$5,011 交易量
否
33°C或更高
$3,403 交易量
是
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 95.5% implied probability to a high of 33°C or higher in Panama City on May 9, driven by the latest forecasts from AccuWeather and aligned meteorological models projecting peaks near 34°C (94°F) under mostly sunny skies at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport station. Recent Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHEPA) updates highlight fewer scattered showers (aguaceros dispersos) than earlier in the week, enabling stronger solar insolation and convective inhibition in the tropical climate, where May averages hover around 31°C. This positioning reflects robust agreement across forecast ensembles, with minimal cloud cover expected. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorm development, which could introduce shading and precipitation to cap temperatures below 33°C before daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
交易量
$18,713结束日期
2026-05-09市场开放时间
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 95.5% implied probability to a high of 33°C or higher in Panama City on May 9, driven by the latest forecasts from AccuWeather and aligned meteorological models projecting peaks near 34°C (94°F) under mostly sunny skies at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport station. Recent Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHEPA) updates highlight fewer scattered showers (aguaceros dispersos) than earlier in the week, enabling stronger solar insolation and convective inhibition in the tropical climate, where May averages hover around 31°C. This positioning reflects robust agreement across forecast ensembles, with minimal cloud cover expected. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorm development, which could introduce shading and precipitation to cap temperatures below 33°C before daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$18,713结束日期
2026-05-09市场开放时间
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 95.5% implied probability to a high of 33°C or higher in Panama City on May 9, driven by the latest forecasts from AccuWeather and aligned meteorological models projecting peaks near 34°C (94°F) under mostly sunny skies at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport station. Recent Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHEPA) updates highlight fewer scattered showers (aguaceros dispersos) than earlier in the week, enabling stronger solar insolation and convective inhibition in the tropical climate, where May averages hover around 31°C. This positioning reflects robust agreement across forecast ensembles, with minimal cloud cover expected. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorm development, which could introduce shading and precipitation to cap temperatures below 33°C before daily maximum observation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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