**Official observations from the Charles de Gaulle Airport weather station—the market's designated source—confirm Paris's highest temperature on April 17 reached exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on that outcome.** This aligns with Météo-France's preliminary data amid mild spring conditions featuring high-pressure influence, light southerly winds, and partial cloud cover that capped daytime heating. Pre-event ECMWF ensemble forecasts and national model runs had converged on highs of 20-21°C, matching the observed peak around mid-afternoon. With the event passed and data published, markets reflect verified measurements; realistic challenges are minimal, limited to infrequent quality-control revisions uncovering sensor anomalies, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 0.5°C in 99% of cases. Traders await no further updates as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月17日巴黎气温最高?
21°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$354,976 交易量
$354,976 交易量
16°C或以下
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
是
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C或更高
否
21°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$354,976 交易量
$354,976 交易量
16°C或以下
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
是
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
**Official observations from the Charles de Gaulle Airport weather station—the market's designated source—confirm Paris's highest temperature on April 17 reached exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on that outcome.** This aligns with Météo-France's preliminary data amid mild spring conditions featuring high-pressure influence, light southerly winds, and partial cloud cover that capped daytime heating. Pre-event ECMWF ensemble forecasts and national model runs had converged on highs of 20-21°C, matching the observed peak around mid-afternoon. With the event passed and data published, markets reflect verified measurements; realistic challenges are minimal, limited to infrequent quality-control revisions uncovering sensor anomalies, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 0.5°C in 99% of cases. Traders await no further updates as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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